Before he was the GM at Carolina, David Gettleman was the Pro Personnel Director for the New York Giants. From 1999-2012, he was heavily involved in the Giants’ decisions on draft day, helping his GMs make sense of stats and scout recommendations.
So how did the Giants do in the first round of the NFL Draft with Gettleman in their ear?
Astonishingly well, actually. First round picks during that period played an average of 14.4 games the following season. And all of them turned into consistent starters, no matter where they were taken in the first round. Take a look at the list below. There’s not a single "bust" in the lot. It certainly bodes well for the Panthers come Thursday night.
Of course, Gettleman didn’t have final say on who the Giants picked in those drafts. Ernie Accorsi and Jerry Reese did. But no one had more influence on those GMs on draft day than David Gettleman.
And Gettleman did have final say on the Panthers’ 2013 first round pick, Star Lotulelei, who started all 16 games in 2013.
If the Panthers keep their first round pick on Thursday, odds are Gettleman won’t waste it on a bust. History shows he’s extremely likely to pick a solid, instant-impact player who'll be a starter for years to come.
Year - Draft Pos - Player - Games Played the Following Season
2012 - 32 - David Wilson (RB) 16 games
2011 - 19 - Prince Amukamara (DB) 7 games
2010 - 15 - Jason Pierre-Paul (DE)
2009 - 29 - Hakeem Nicks (WR) 14 games
2008 - 31 - Kenny Phillips (FS) 16 games
2007 - 20 - Aaron Ross (CB) 15 games
2006 - 31 - Mathias Kiwanuka (DE) 16 games
2005 - No First Round Pick
2004 - 4 - Philip Rivers (QB) Traded to San Diego
2003 - 25 - William Joseph (DT) 14 games
2002 - 14 - Jeremy Shockey (TE) 15 games
2001 - 22 - Will Allen (CB) 13 games
2000 - 11 - Ron Dayne (RB) 16 games
1999 - 19 - Luke Petitgout (G) 15 games