After a tough loss to the Saints on Sunday night, the Panthers will try to rebound against an up and down Jets team. Will the Panthers be able to wipe away the poor performance, or will the bad loss foster struggles throughout the final three games of the season? Let's start off this week by quickly taking a look to see what the numbers tell us.
Even after a horrendous performance against the Saints, the Panthers remain the league's stingiest defense and are now the only team to have allowed less than 200 points on the season. Hopefully the front 7 can get back on track this week and make sure Geno Smith feels uncomfortable all day long.
The bigger story here is the Jets. You may wonder which Jets team we will see on Sunday. I feel pretty confident given their 1-5 road record that we will see the struggling Jets team head into Bank of America Stadium. In fact the Jets may very well be the worst road team in the NFL.
While at home, the Jets have scored an average of 21 points per game while allowing an average of 21.86 a game. However, when the Jets head out of the safety of home scoring drops almost 8 points per game down to just 13.17. In turn, the Jet defense allows almost 9 more points per game on the road at a staggering 30.67 point per road contest. The Jets are 16.64 points per game worse on the road than at home.
The Panthers at home have also been a completely different team than their appearances on the road in 2013. The offense on the road has struggled at times only averaging 19.71 point per contest. The offense jumps to 26.67 points per game at home. The defense has also thrived at home allowing just 10.5 points per game, while on the road they allow 17.86. This comes to a 14.32 points per game improvement at home for the Panthers.
Prediction: Panthers 26, Jets 9
The prediction above takes into account both home and away games. However, I believe the home field advantage may big as big of a factor here as it was in the game Sunday night. Most of the Vegas lines have us favored by 10 to 12 points and if I were a betting man I would take the over.
Feel free to discuss your take and leave your insights below as they are always welcome. As always, good luck to the Jets, I know we all hope for a clean injury-free game!