As many people rush into panic mode about the sophomore slump, I thought it'd be prudent to take a look around the league at other quarterbacks and examine how they fared. There are obviously cases where this has happened, one doesn't even have to look back very far in the case of Sam Bradford. However, I believe a lot of his issues came more with his injury and supporting cast. I'm going to be listing quarterback with the stat line of games - completion percentage - yards - yd average - touchdowns/interceptions - QB Rating.
So Sam Bradford's lines would look like this
2010 - 16 - 60% - 3512 - 5.95 -18/15 - 76.5
2011 - 10 - 53.5% - 2164 - 6.06 - 6/6 - 70.5
There is obvious regression here, but how much of this is due to a slump and how much is injury?
Check out other QBs after the jump
2008 - 16 - 61.1% - 3440 - 7.93 - 16/11 - 87.7
2009 - 14 - 58.3% - 2916 - 6.47 - 22/14 - 80.9
Looks like a slump to me, lower comp percent, lower avg, more TDs but more ints too, and lower rating overall. Missed 2 games and perhaps could have improved upon his numbers but we'll never know.
2009 - 10 - 54.5% - 1855 - 6.40 - 10/18 - 59.8
2010 - 16 - 61.4% - 3451 - 7.28 - 25/6 - 95.9
So there's improvement across the board, major improvement in fact, some may say that last year was his slump because it's technically his second full year of starting, but I think 10 games is pretty sufficient
2009 - 15 - 53.8% - 2444 - 6.71 - 12/20 - 63.0
2010 - 16 - 54.8% - 3291 - 6.49 - 17/13 - 75.3
I didn't really like using Sanchez as an example but he did start off as a rookie and there is enough evidence for me to say he improved from rookie to sophomore year. Better comp %, more Tds and less ints, higher QB rating, only thing that went down was the yd average.
2008 - 16 - 60% - 2971 - 6.94 - 14/12 - 80.3
2009 - 16 - 63.1% - 3613 - 7.24 - 21/12 - 88.9
Finally someone who had full seasons for both years. Once again improvement over the rookie season, in all areas. Interceptions remain the same but with 71 more attempts that year so I'd call that an improvement too
2009 - 10 - 53.3% - 2267 - 6.01 - 13/20 - 61.0
2010 - 3 - 59.4% - 535 - 5.57 - 6/1 - 91.3
2011 - 16 - 63.5% - 5038 - 7.60 - 41/16 - 97.2
I had to include 3 years for Stafford since he only played 3 games his 2nd year. However even in those three games he showed improvement on completion percentage, TD/int ratio, and QB rating. He continued that into his third year to put together a crazy good season last year.
2001 - 15 - 63.9% - 2843 - 6.88 - 18/12 - 86.5
2002 - 16 - 62.1% - 3764 - 6.26 - 28/14 - 85.7
Okay, so I threw out his 2000 year because he played 1 game and attempted 3 passes, but Brady attempted 188 more passes from 2001 to 2002. He responded with a slightly lower comp % and yard average, but 921 yards and 10 extra touchdowns to only 2 more interceptions. I would not really call that a slump.
2008 - 16 - 63.6% - 4038 - 7.53 - 28/13 - 93.8
2009 - 16 - 64.7% - 4434 - 8.20 - 30/7 - 103.2
So once again I had to throw out the first 3 years (7 games total but only 60 pass attempts compared to Freeman's rookie campaign with 290 attempts which is why I didn't throw out his rookie year) Once again some major improvement all around.
2011 - 16 - 60% - 4051 - 7.84 - 21(35)/17 - 84.5
I put Cam's stats down here to compare them to Rodgers who had 3 years of training, he beat him on yards and yard average, and is behind him on comp % and QB rating. If you choose to count the rushing touchdowns he had more TDs than him, and of course more Ints
There are more examples out there of QBs having slumps, Phillip Rivers and Drew Brees both had years that weren't as good as their first year of starting, even Ben Roethlisburger's stats went down from his rookie year, so I'm not saying that it's not completely out of the question for Cam to get the dreaded Sophomore Slump. Not to mention the evil Madden curse everyone is so afraid of! What I wanted to do was point out to people that there are many examples of people who have done just fine, so there's really no reason to get all bent out of shape. I hope you enjoyed the reprieve from the thousand of mock drafts out there, but now back to the regularly scheduled programming; mock away guys!