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2011 Season Panther Player Recap - RB Jonathan Stewart

Coming into the 2011 season there were many Panther fans wishing to see more of the Panthers power back with sprinter's speed. In many ways they got their wish. Coming off a bit of a down year yard per carry-wise (4.3 vs. 5.1 in 2009) and scoring-wise (2 vs.10 TDs) Stewart packed a lot of production into fewer rushes in 2011.

Stewart's career rushing totals:

Rushing

Year

Team

G

GS

Att

Yds

Avg

Lg

TD

20+

1st

2008

Carolina Panthers

16

0

184

836

4.5

41

10

8

42

2009

Carolina Panthers

16

3

221

1133

5.1

67

10

11

54

2010

Carolina Panthers

14

7

178

770

4.3

48

2

5

32

2011

Carolina Panthers

16

3

142

761

5.4

32

4

6

47

TOTAL

62

13

725

3500

4.8

67

26

30

175

These numbers put Stewart at #25 in rushing in the NFL with 761 total yards on a career low 142 carries. Another positive: 1 fumble; Zero lost.

Star-divide

Yet fewer rushes did not mean fewer touches for Stewart in 2011. With new OC Rob Chudzinski emphasizing spreading the ball around Stewart was the recipient of a big increase in pass receptions:

Receiving

Year

Team

G

GS

Rec

Yds

Avg

Lg

TD

20+

40+

1st

2008

Carolina Panthers

16

0

8

47

5.9

15

0

0

0

2

2009

Carolina Panthers

16

3

18

139

7.7

19

1

0

0

7

2010

Carolina Panthers

14

7

8

103

12.9

55

1

1

1

2

2011

Carolina Panthers

16

3

47

413

8.8

26

1

4

0

18

TOTAL

62

13

81

702

8.7

55

3

5

1

29

Stewart added another 413 yards on 42 receptions out of the backfield including 1 TD and 18 that went for first downs. This is exactly how we envisioned Stewart being used instead of simply a rotation 1st and 2nd down back. In fact, Stewart led the NFC South in RB play time this season:

Stewart Leads in Percent Play Time Among NFC South RBs:

Carolina's Jonathan Stewart led the division at 55.2 percent. Stewart was on the field for 577 of Carolina's 1,046 offensive plays. Atlanta's Michael Turner took part in 52.2 percent of his offense's plays. Turner was on the field for 588 of 1,127 snaps. Neither player was in the top 10 among the league's running backs. Philadelphia's LeSean McCoy led the league as he played on 81.1 percent of his team's snaps. There were a few other items of interest when it came to playing time for NFC South running backs. While Stewart led the division, his teammate, DeAngelo Williams, was third in the NFC South at 42.73 percent, just ahead of New Orleans' Darren Sproles 42.71 percent.

So you can see that if DeAngelo Williams wasn't in the game then Stewart was. As the season went we started seeing more and more formations where both RBs were in the line-up. Now that is a nightmare for opposing defenses in 3rd and short plays.

Additional Stats:

Looking at Football Outsiders stats for RBs, we see Stewart landing in the top 5 in the NFL in both of the key stats Defense-adjusted Yards above Replacement (DYAR) and Defense-adjusted Variance Over Average:

Rushing DYAR: #4 overall behind only McCoy, MJD & Lynch.

Rushing DVOA: #2 overall behind only Pierre Thomas (who barely made the 100 carry minimum with 110)

RB Receiving DYAR: #8 overall (behind Sproles, Rice, Matthews, Bush, Foster, C Clay, P Thomas)

RB Receiving DVOA: #17 Overall with a 77% catch rate

2011 Season Highlights:

Though Stewart only saw the end zone three times this season he wasn't without big or even controversial big plays:

  • Game 3 versus the Jaguars in the torrential downpour you might remember the long run that was called back because when Stewart essentially flipped over a defender but he was ruled down by contact. I still think there was no evidence he was down and should have been allowed.
  • Game 15 versus the Bucs, Stewart had his best game of the season with 88 yards rushing and an 11 yard TD reception on a pass out into the right flat.Stewart also had a 32 yard scamper down the left sideline as he got the edge thanks to a Steve Smith block. He also had one of his classic stiff arms to the face mask in this one as well.
  • Game 16 versus the Saints, Stewart breaks off a beauty of run right up the gut for 29 yards and a TD. Stewart looked like he was shot out of a cannon.

2012 Contract Status

Stewart is scheduled to count $1.3M towards the Panthers salary cap in 2012, the last year of his current deal. I fully expect the Panthers to re-sign him this offseason as he most certainly has to be in their immediate plans at RB. To let him go into the season without a new deal would send a mixed message to Stewart and may entice him to try his hand in free agency, something we do not want. Besides, with a franchise tag for RBs running just under $8M a year it's a no-brainer to get one done asap. Now if the Panthers do wait I don't think it means he is leaving but it sure would be easier to do it now rather than later.

2012 Fantasy Analysis via CBS Sports:

Stewart's season ends with 761 yards with four touchdowns on 142 carries along with 413 receiving yards and a touchdown catch on 47 receptions. That's not bad considering that he split reps with DeAngelo Williams all season long. Stewart will enter a contract year in 2012 and could be motivated to play well for a new deal. We could see him being an attractive pick between Rounds 6 and 7 in drafts as a No. 3 Fantasy RB, but his upside will be stunted by both Williams and Cam Newton stealing opportunities from him.

Yes, with Newton vulturing carries from both RBs their value should remain pretty steady though certainly elevated from last season low predictions. As always, if one or the other misses time then the other gets the carries and immediately becomes a #1 RB.

Smash-n-dash_celebrate_medium

via assets.sbnation.com

Nicknames:

For the Panther novice who might be reading please know Stewart has a number of nicknames, some well known and others specific to CSR. We might call him J-Stew, Beef Stew, Stewie or most famously 1/2 of Double Trouble with RB DeAngelo Williams being the other half.

So in summary though Stewart got fewer rushing carries in 2011 his touches and involvement in the offense went up dramatically as the Panthers used him more on 3rd downs. Stewart also set career highs in yards per rush (5.4), receptions (47) and receiving yards (413). There is no doubt Jonathan Stewart remains one of the top RBs in the NFL when you look at the complete package and what he brings to the offense. I'm sure of the DBs he has trucked over the last four seasons would agree. I look forward to another dynamic year from Stewart in 2012.

Comment 18 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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ummmmm..... beefy

Jonathan stewart is a workhorse. You can tell how much he’s enjoying his football because, like cam, he’s got a giant smile on his face. I hope both backs get to keep their production up. After a poor start many of us were calling for a more involved ground game. When it happened we started to win. He’s a proper smash mouth running back and everyone on this site loves the stewie stiff arm… Looking forward to seeing the gif’s again…… (Hint hint)

Save us Pilares

by LimeyPanther on Jan 31, 2012 5:23 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Stewie...

With D-Will under a major contract, I think if we really want the Dreaded Three-Headed Rushing Monster (D-Will, Stewie, and Cam) to continue, we have to re-sign Stewie by mid-season. There are very few teams out there running a one-back system these days. And we have two of the leagues best in our stable. Who cares about fantasy stats!? The game we really want to win is the real one on the field. I love to have a Panther that produces ridiculous fantasy numbers as much as the next guy, but by letting them share time in the backfield, they get less beat up and their careers have more longevity. They may not make the Pro Bowl every year because of it, but their value to the offense when we make the Super Bowl outvalues some stupid Pro-Bowl check if the NFC wins.

by w-s panther on Jan 31, 2012 5:40 PM EST reply actions  

It would be interesting to see

how many of his touchdowns in 08 and 09 were within 5 yards. I think most of the ones he had this year were of the longer variety and Cam pretty much took all the goal line attempts.
Not saying it’s a bad thing, just an argument to have ready when people outside of the organization start bashing him for reduced productivity.

by Beny on Jan 31, 2012 5:47 PM EST reply actions  

Been saying this since '08

One of the five most talented backs in the league.

"What do you want to say to those critics now?"
"Just sit back and watch the show." -Cam Newton

by Smitty89 on Jan 31, 2012 7:15 PM EST reply actions  

I think we could sign Stew to a similar deal that Williams got

On the surface, it looks like Williams makes about $8.4 million per year, but a lot of that money is devoted to a $21 million signing bonus, all of which is guaranteed. I’m sure some of that is pro-rated, but the bottom line is that basically it cost us a lot for Williams this year, but for the next 4 years, he is relatively cheap to retain (compared to his worth). Even if we only paid Wiliams half of that bonus this year, that still lowers his yearly by nearly $1.5 million per year.

We could do the same with Stewart, giving him a hefty signing bonus, but with the majority of it hitting us next year. It would allow us to still pay the players what they are worth, but at the same time they wouldn’t be as costly over the next few seasons when we’re looking to resign other players.

by aceofsween on Jan 31, 2012 8:31 PM EST reply actions  

After reading this post and looking over the stats

I found myself wondering several things:

- We need to sign him to an extension and now

- Given the talent and threats in the backfield, Stewie will have a lot of miles when most of his peers will be falling apart

- Despite splitting carries with D-Will, I consider Stewart one of the top three backs in franchise history

- Why in the hell do I not have his jersey?

- The tandem if Double Trouble is so strong and talented, I would put both of them on my fantasy roster without hesitation.

Good post as always Jaxon. I look forward to your next one.

Integrity first. Service before self. Excellence in all you do. -- USAF Core Values

by Disciple of Carolina on Jan 31, 2012 9:52 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Agreed. Except for the fantasy part I have always had a lot of panthers players on my roster and always have steve smith on my team. Some years it lets me down :/

by ieatcrayons on Jan 31, 2012 10:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Calculated risk and an understandable one

However, there is a saying: “Fortune favors the bold”. Ask anyone who drafted Cam Newton in fantasy thus past year.

Integrity first. Service before self. Excellence in all you do. -- USAF Core Values

by Disciple of Carolina on Jan 31, 2012 10:51 PM EST up reply actions  

Fantasy Football is all about consistency...

Players who can’t produce things consistently just aren’t worth it in the end. That’s why D.Will and J.Stew struggle so much in that respect. It’s hard to justify keeping them in the line up when you’re not sure if you’re going to get 15 pts out of them or less than 5.

by aceofsween on Feb 1, 2012 12:33 AM EST up reply actions  

That is true but

If you draft well and your QB and receivers play at a high level, chances are they will pick them up. Most of us have played FF long enough to know who will produce and who is a big question mark. I got on a friend of mine about not starting D-Will each week. On the roster, he was the second best RB to have starting but he would leave him on the bench. That move cost him at least two games and playoff seeding. When he finally started him, he cruised all the way to the playoffs. So, consistency may be a factor but you also need to look at a player’s supporting cast and matchups.

Integrity first. Service before self. Excellence in all you do. -- USAF Core Values

by Disciple of Carolina on Feb 1, 2012 9:16 AM EST up reply actions  

That worked out for him

Because Williams picked up the pace late in the season. If he had started him early on, what good would it have done? Not much…

by aceofsween on Feb 1, 2012 12:56 PM EST up reply actions  

I picked up cam after he reached around 300 yards in that first game. One of the best fantasy moves I ever made because I waited till round 7 to get Matt Schaub…

by ieatcrayons on Feb 1, 2012 10:31 AM EST up reply actions  

That could be true

But some could make the argument for Stephen Davis. The only knock on him was he spent a good portion of his career in Washington and had a lot of miles on him when he was signed by Carolina.

Integrity first. Service before self. Excellence in all you do. -- USAF Core Values

by Disciple of Carolina on Feb 1, 2012 12:14 PM EST up reply actions  

That was an intended reply for WhiteMamba

This damn touch tablet is starting to piss me off

Integrity first. Service before self. Excellence in all you do. -- USAF Core Values

by Disciple of Carolina on Feb 1, 2012 12:15 PM EST up reply actions  

RBs are not as sought after as they once were!

They have been pretty easy finds in the draft! as of late….seem college players are comming in more pro ready than ever!….my point is…. he might be easier to retain than you might think…. especially since he likes it here![ personally i think him a Dwill are best friends and don’t want to split] and we have something special here now[Cam] they see it too!

by TheWhite Mamba on Feb 1, 2012 9:38 AM EST reply actions  

Stew

If he was on any other team as featured back he would be top 3 in league. He’s got to be #1 priority to resign during offseason.

by oldpanther on Feb 1, 2012 10:32 AM EST reply actions  

my favorite of the two

He should have gotten the bulk of the workload. If cam could figure out how to get his feet set on some of these short throws to these backs in the flats his job will get much easier.

"If I have to find Jesus does that mean he is hiding ?" THE SOESBEAST " death solves all problems, no man no problem" Joseph Dzhugashvili

by allthatremainsstillowns on Feb 1, 2012 1:07 PM EST reply actions  

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