Use the Schwartz, Kraken
Below are the answers to some of the questions submitted by you guys earlier this week. May the Schwartz be with you.
Note from RC Fischer at fantasyfootballmetrics.com:
Greg Olsen: Will he have a break out year with a new QB dumping passes off to him? Also, will he help Steve Smith attain pro-bowl level again?
Where does Peyton Manning fall this year in QB rankings? His fantasy numbers dropped last year and now we don’t know how his neck should respond. Where should FF teams look to draft Manning?
Where should he be picked if his lockout continues through the remainder of the preseason?
I would be worried about Chris Johnson's contract situation if I have a top 3-10 overall Fantasy Football pick, and I'm thinking about taking him. There are so many other great options to consider in Round-1, why invite this trouble into your Fantasy Football life? If he falls into the mid-2nd Round...now we have an interesting discussion. Should Johnson fall to #15-20+ overall in your Fantasy Football Draft, I think you have to consider altering your draft plan to accommodate him...even if just to trade him the second he signs his contract.
We're a little skittish on Johnson for Fantasy Football 2011, even if Johnson signed his contract today -- all because of the Titans opening schedule. We hate early schedules that have the tendency to cut our elite/heavily depended upon player's FF scoring down to start the season. The first 6 weeks of 2011, Johnson faces -- JAC, BAL, DEN, CLE, PIT, BYE. Johnson has not faired well against the BAL/PIT type defenses as of late. If Johnson is squashed in Week 2 & 5, with a Week-6 BYE...then through the first 6 weeks of 2011, Johnson may only be useful for 50% of them. -- which is not a good early (ROI) return-on-investment for as high as CJ is taken.
If I'm taking an elite QB/WR/RB in Round-1, I'm not taking one with a rough starting schedule. Think about the psychological issues a bad start has caused in your past Fantasy Football seasons...and Ray Rice 2010 was a great example. Last year, Rice starts out slow (first 4 games = NYJ, CIN, CLE, PIT); and my emails were lit up with Fantasy owners in panic. We were trading for a declined value Ray Rice in Weeks 5-7 all day long, and it paid off once the schedule relented. Don't be the one on the other end of one of those panic trades, when you can help it...and a Chris Johnson bad-start situation, is one you can properly avoid.
You can see it now for Johnson -- Week-1 vs. JAC, maybe has an OK game, maybe is a little slow due to lack of preseason time. Week-2, the Ravens sit on him...now 2 weak/bad games, and panic will ensue. Be ready to swoop in on that panic and be the beneficiary, not be the one who is panicked. If I'm wrong, then you took some other elite RB in the 1st-Round and you are likely fine anyway. Chris Johnson's best 2011 Fantasy Football value is to pass on him early, and try to trade for him on a reduced value later.