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Understanding OC Jeff Davidson's Gameplan: 2009 vs NY Giants

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It's game time! Do you know where your offensive coordinator is? Take a moment to turn back the clock and examine the execution of Davidson's gameplan on Sundays. The first game up for examination is the 2009 shellacking of the New York Giants.

The Giants had a playoff berth on the line. It was also the last game in the old Giants stadium. The stadium was jam packed with fans and former players ready to send their team off in proper form. Unfortunately for everyone in attendance...  no one explained to the NY Giants that the Panthers would not let them simply waltz into the postseason.

The Panthers had just come off of a very convincing win against the Minnesota Vikings, 26-7, improving to a 6-8 record. Let's take a look at Davidson's plan of attack in this week 16 matchup... after the jump

Star-divide

This game is an example of how Davidson's gameplan is meant to work. At a later date we'll take a look at some less-fortunate games. Eventually we'll compare Davidson to Coach Chud's tendencies, which may give us a clearer picture of the type of offense we can expect to employ here.

Before I share the gory details I should first explain the way I am mapping the gameplan. I am using numbers to determine the personnel group and what type of play it was. So, for example, if I say that the Panthers lined up on first down in the 12 personnel group that indicates that there is "1" running back and "2" tight ends. 21 would be "2" running backs and "1" tight end. The personnel group does not necessarily dictate what formation the offense employed. It only details which personnel were used for that play. When watching a game like this, the plan starts to unfold very nicely.

The following is a table of the Panthers play calls in the first half, by personnel group.

 

CAR 10 11 12 13 21 22 23 Total
Pass 0 6 8 0 3 1 1 19
Run 0 2 7 1 6 6 0 22

 

You'll notice the Panthers had a remarkably balanced effort in the first half. Although, four passes out of the 11 personnel group occurred during their last possession of the first half and didn't amount to much. As I was marking this down, the next item that was really interesting to me was how often we used a two TE formation. In the first half, 22 total plays were run out of either the 12 or 22 personnel group. Watching the drive unfold play by play was really educational for me. For example, let's take a quick look at the Panthers first offensive possession. We'll split up the play calls by how far the offense needed to go to move the chains. "1st 12 pass" means the team lined up on 1st down with 1 RB and 2 TEs and they passed (or tried to - if it was a sack, or the QB scrambled, I still documented it as a pass for purposes of examining the gameplan).

 

10+ 5 to 9 4 and <
1st 12 pass 2nd 12 pass 3rd 12 pass
2nd 12 run 3rd 12 pass 3rd 22 run
1st 21 run 2nd 21 pass  
1st 12 run 3rd 21 run  
2nd 12 pass 3rd 21 pass  
1st 12 run    
1st 13 run    
2nd 21 run    

 

I remember watching this unfold early and thinking "Wow, we're lining up a lot in the 12 personnel group". For comparison, let's take a look at the G-Men's first drive of the game. They clearly felt most comfortable attacking the Panthers D out of the 11 personnel group. They mixed it up early in the drive fairly well, though:

 

10+ 5 to 9 4 and <
1st 21 run 3rd 10 pass 3rd 11 pass
2nd 12 run 2nd 21 pass 3rd 11 run
1st 21 pass 2nd 21 run  
1st 11 pass    
1st 11 pass    
1st 11 pass    
2nd 11 pass    
3rd 11 pass    

 

Look at all the different personnel groups, especially early on. As the game wore on and the G-Men fell behind, they operated almost exclusively out of the 11 personnel group (1 RB, 1TE, 3WRs).

After kicking a FG in the first quarter of play, the Panthers exploded offensively racking up 21 more points before the end of the half. On three consecutive drives, the Panthers scored on a run out of the 22 personnel group; a pass out of the 11 personnel group; and a pass out of the 23 personnel group.

The first half includes a lot of balance on the Panthers part and they weren't ready to slow down after receiving the ball first in the third quarter. They covered around 60 yards on two plays, a run by RB Jonothan Stewart, and a arm-breaking TD reception by WR Steve Smith to put the Panthers impossibly ahead 31-0. Here's where the gameplan changes incredibly! Let's take a look at the 2nd half stats:

 

 

CAR 10 11 12 13 21 22 23 Total
Pass 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 4
Run 0 0 1 0 1 17 1 20

 

Four passes in the entire 2nd half of the game! Two of them were on the opening drive of the 3rd quarter! From here on out, Davidson doesn't even try to hide the plan of attack. The Panthers gave the Giants defense a run look and they ran it down their throat again and again and again. And it worked beautifully. The defense was clearly worn down early in this game as even FB Brad Hoover picked up a run of 18 yards. This lead to RB Stewart's career day, shattering the Panthers single-game rushing record with 206 yards.

That more or less sums up the plan of attack for this game. I'll leave you with a couple more tables of stats and start working on the next one. There is some information that I didn't record for this game that I plan to jot down moving forward, such as yards gained on each play. Thanks for reading! If you have any questions, feel free to jump in with comments.

Giants Offensive Gameplan breakdown:

1st Half:

 

NYG 10 11 12 13 21 22 23 Total
Pass 2 15 0 0 4 0 0 21
Run 0 1 2 0 4 1 0 8

 

2nd Half:

 

NYG 10 11 12 13 21 22 23 Total
Pass 0 25 0 0 0 0 1 26
Run 0 8 0 0 0 1 1 10

 

Percentage Breakdown by Team:

 

Run % on 1st Down 2nd Down 3rd Down 4th Down
CAR 29.23% 18.46% 9.23% 0.00%
NYG 13.85% 10.77% 3.08% 0.00%
Pass % on 1st Down 2nd Down 3rd Down 4th Down
CAR 6.15% 9.23% 9.23% 0.00%
NYG 32.31% 20.00% 16.92% 3.08%

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Wow... what an amazing breakdown

I feel like Davidson never planned to win, just planned not to lose. I don’t know how you justify only passing 4 times in the second half, that’s ludicrous unless you’re up big.

I will front page this piece this afternoon. Thanks for the info!

by James Dator on Jul 8, 2011 10:39 AM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, 4 passes? For real? During an entire half?

Wow. Talk about ultra conservative….

In situations like this when things are bad, the easy thing to do is fold up the tent, just pack it up and accept it. But winners and people who are successful realize that when things get tough, it’s an opportunity to define yourself. They realize that in this moment, you can do something great. - Jon Beason

by Tarheel Soldier on Jul 8, 2011 11:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

Kind of reminds me of the 2010 Arizona game.

I don’t know where to look up specific stats for this, but I remember that Clausen had a remarkably good 1st half of passing (for Clausen). Then comes the 2nd half. I’m pretty sure we had no more than 5 passes in the that half. And, I may be mistaken, but I cannot remember a single pass in the 4th quarter. It was the J-Stew Show sprinkled with a few appearances by Mike Goodson. Literally, I do not think that there was a single pass in the 4th quarter.

If that’s not conservative and “playing not to lose,” I’m not sure what is. Ironically, that “playing not to lose” actually put us dangerously close to losing. If you’re ONLY running the ball, it’s just too predictable, unpractical, and isn’t going to get you a lot of first downs – hence many 3rd-and-outs, hence an exhausted defense that gave up huge yardage in the 2nd half. And keep in mind, that was our defense against Skelton.

I just don’t understand it. When someone has a hot hand that day, my philosophy is to let that guy keep rolling until the hand starts going cold. Rarely did Clausen get on a streak, but I’ll give it up to the guy that he had one in the 1st half of that game, and Foxy/Davidson didn’t really give him a chance to keep it up in the 2nd half. As a consequence, J-Stew was run to death and he was put in unnecessary danger of injury because they practically put the entire offense on his shoulders. Not cool.

"One play can win a game, but one play cannot lose a game." - Coach Peterson, Boise St.

"When you get into coaching, you strive to be a Super Bowl-winning head coach. That’s what my goal is, to come here and become a Super Bowl-winning head coach and to sustain an atmosphere of winning." - Ron Rivera

by jamiedk on Jul 8, 2011 2:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

6 total passes in the 3rd (4 completed). 2 passes in the 4th (both completed...

…although one of them was for minus 1 yard)

Newton for '11 ROY!
Walker for '11 ROY!
Biyombo for '11 DPOY!

by Newsinz on Jul 8, 2011 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks for the stats...

I stand corrected…as does my crappy memory. =)

I wish I still had my DVR…it would come be so helpful in situations such as these.

"One play can win a game, but one play cannot lose a game." - Coach Peterson, Boise St.

"When you get into coaching, you strive to be a Super Bowl-winning head coach. That’s what my goal is, to come here and become a Super Bowl-winning head coach and to sustain an atmosphere of winning." - Ron Rivera

by jamiedk on Jul 8, 2011 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks so much!

In this case, we were up 31 to zip. So I don’t fault him for going with the turtle plan in this particular instance. I do agree that there is a tendency in his gameplan to ‘not lose’. Look at the Patriots, for example… they don’t care. They’ll run up the score. Because you simply never know in football. There are teams who have made some unbelievable comebacks in the closing minutes of games. I remember the Colts – Texans game a year or two ago where the Colts scored 17 points in just barely over 2 minutes to steal the game away from the Texans – who before that had scored 27 unanswered points to take control.

Pedal to the metal, I say. Keep rackin’ up the score!!

by Fernando De La Cruz on Jul 8, 2011 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

true but

we were up big lol. We were up 31-0 and Steve Smith broke his arm therefore losing our only major receiving threat but hey I bet Davidson’s gameplan made J.Stewart happy. If I remember correctly the majority of the Giants D-line and linebackers were injured so I’d run it a hell of a lot too haha.

by Martin LatinFire Gonzalez on Jul 8, 2011 6:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nice job

I think a more telling stat would be a 4 game sample of losses vs. a 4 game sample of wins to see whether the Panthers game plan was consistent throughout. Very nice work.

In situations like this when things are bad, the easy thing to do is fold up the tent, just pack it up and accept it. But winners and people who are successful realize that when things get tough, it’s an opportunity to define yourself. They realize that in this moment, you can do something great. - Jon Beason

by Tarheel Soldier on Jul 8, 2011 11:16 AM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, I started with this game because it's so much fun to watch :)

But I plan to go over some of the more painful games as well. I’ll also take a look at some close ones. Getting a decent variety should give us a good picture of our former OC’s tendencies.

The real trouble I’m going to have is breaking down Chud’s tendencies. I have zero footage from his time in Cleveland. So I’m going to go off of San Diego’s offense in 2009 and 2010.

by Fernando De La Cruz on Jul 8, 2011 5:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Guess the G-Men picked a bad day to have a bad day!

So much to be done, and so few people willing to do it for me.

by Rick Bates on Jul 8, 2011 1:53 PM EDT reply actions   2 recs

Will our Offencive blocking be zoned based still?

Interesting to know if Chud will keep with the zone blocking scheme. I am unsure if he had it with Browns or when he later went to San Diego. Zone blocking can open up some major lanes for our running backs if the passing game is there. Given with Chud the passing game should be there will he keep our o-line blocking as is?

I am a proud supporter of troll hunting---- me.
When I see or hear sports segments dedicated to fantasy sports I want drive a nail in my ear because it is less painful. --also me.

by bigred28655 on Jul 8, 2011 2:24 PM EDT reply actions  

Will be fun see what they well do with the line.

I know some of the lineman said that zone blocking was simpler for them. Eitherway it is going to be crazy to see a new style of offence.

I am a proud supporter of troll hunting---- me.
When I see or hear sports segments dedicated to fantasy sports I want drive a nail in my ear because it is less painful. --also me.

by bigred28655 on Jul 8, 2011 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Great Breakdown

To bad the 2009 Giants Defense was on of the worst Defense’s in their history. Good victory for you guys but nothing to hang you hats on, becasue everybody did that to us that year.

by Late for Dinner on Jul 8, 2011 2:43 PM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, the Giant's defense definitely had some breakdowns this game

But you guys stuck it to us in the opener in 2010. That’s for sure. What a rude awakening!

by Fernando De La Cruz on Jul 8, 2011 5:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well done

Very nice breakdown.

Maturity is knowing you were an idiot in the past. Wisdom is knowing you will be an idiot in the future and common sense is knowing you should try not to be an idiot now. - J. Jacques

by Vagus on Jul 8, 2011 3:00 PM EDT reply actions  

Great breakdown, though I had to re-read the explanation of the chart a time or two (lol). Looks to me as though this was indicative of a game where one side had complete control of the game, and had no need to A) pass the ball and risk a turnover when you are up by 24 or 31 points or B) get away from what works in your gameplan which in this case was running the ball.

Definitely one of the better offensive games we have seen the team play in.

Proud Member of Cat Scratch Reader and coiner of the (minus Bowers) meme

by Ivan459 on Jul 8, 2011 3:15 PM EDT reply actions  

Oh, sorry man, didn’t mean to make it sound like that. It was a good breakdown, I just had to take a double-take to be sure I was reading it correctly. After that I understood what you were talking about.

It was a very good post though!

Proud Member of Cat Scratch Reader and coiner of the (minus Bowers) meme

by Ivan459 on Jul 8, 2011 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's cool. :)

For what it’s worth, I’m reading “Take Your Eye Off the Ball” by Pat Kirwan. There’s plenty of info there that I already knew… but the stuff that I didn’t know was awesome! Identifying personnel groupings was the first thing in the book and now I’m just trying to put that to practice.

Amazon link:
http://www.amazon.com/Take-Your-Eye-Off-Ball/dp/1600783910

by Fernando De La Cruz on Jul 8, 2011 6:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

That’s cool man. That is what makes CSR great. The knowledge of the community astounds me every day. I love reading this site because there is usually always something new to read and inform yourself on football wise.

I thought a knew a lot, but I really don’t in comparison to guys like you, James, Jaxon, etc. I’m just happy you all share your knowledge here!

Proud Member of Cat Scratch Reader and coiner of the (minus Bowers) meme

by Ivan459 on Jul 8, 2011 11:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Interesting that you would select this game to break down...

It’s the game that Matt Moore went 15/20 for 171 yds and 3 TD passes, and a QB rating of 139+.

By most who refused to give him any credit for the win (though it eliminated the Giants from the playoffs), it was dismissed as a “meaningless” game.

http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2009122705/2009/REG16/panthers@giants

From the NFL GameCenter recap, note the following:

“Game ball

Stewart was sensational, but Panthers quarterback Matt Moore was just as good. He completed 15 of 20 passes for 171 yards and three touchdowns, and his effectiveness through the air kept the Giants’ defense off balance and opened things up for Stewart, who rushed for 206 yards.

Key Stat

The Panthers dominated this game offensively, and no stat demonstrates that better than the team’s outstanding 10-for-15 third-down conversion rate."

by bigdavis on Jul 8, 2011 4:11 PM EDT reply actions  

I'm a huge fan of Matt Moore

I really feel like we would have done better if Moore was never taken out of the lineup. I really believe that. Unfortunately, that’s just not how it went and now we’ll never know.

I will say that I was very impressed with Moore in this game. Sure, Stew had some bone crushing runs and he had an amazing game. What I really liked was Moore’s decision making in the short passing game. He put us into 2nd and short or 3rd and short a lot of times which helps tremendously in that 3rd down conversion rate.

Something else that helped was our ability to employ balanced play calling when working out of the “12” personnel group. It’s where we did a lot of damage out of play action.

by Fernando De La Cruz on Jul 8, 2011 5:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

LOL

Proud Member of Cat Scratch Reader and coiner of the (minus Bowers) meme

by Ivan459 on Jul 8, 2011 5:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Brilliant...

Although, to be fair, I actually noticed in the picture above that it looked like he had laid off of the doughnuts for a little while. I don’t know when that picture was taken, though.

"One play can win a game, but one play cannot lose a game." - Coach Peterson, Boise St.

"When you get into coaching, you strive to be a Super Bowl-winning head coach. That’s what my goal is, to come here and become a Super Bowl-winning head coach and to sustain an atmosphere of winning." - Ron Rivera

by jamiedk on Jul 8, 2011 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Good observation!

I just realized! I think that’s during the offseason, though… when most coaches go back to being regular sized… ish.

by Fernando De La Cruz on Jul 8, 2011 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

this is gold, Cruz

i aspire to write/research as wonderfully as you have for this article! wow! looking forward to the later games/posts in this theme.

just wondering… is there a trove of (full) old Panther games online?

whatever steve smith can do, i cannot do better

by scatterbrain on Jul 8, 2011 6:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Thanks!

I bought the offseason package of NFL GameRewind:

www.nfl.com/gamerewind

It was $20 until the end of July and I can watch all of 2010 games on demand. They have most 2009 games as well. Some good ones are missing, though… like the Panthers – Vikings game. Once July is over, I’ll have to contemplate purchasing the monthly plan if I want to keep up with the research.

by Fernando De La Cruz on Jul 8, 2011 6:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Forgive a petty criticism of an excellent piece of work, but I can’t help myself. It’s playoff “berth” not “birth.”

by Tab Loyd on Jul 17, 2011 8:57 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

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