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"Cam WILL Be A Bust"

Everybody has an opinion when it comes to the actual level of talent at the quarterback position in this year's draft.  The media and fans alike deem themselves "experts" by making bold statements like, "Cam will be a bust", or  "There are no QBs in the 2011 NFL draft worthy of the #1 overall pick". I almost cringe when I see these all or nothing omniscient statements because they are, in a word, ludicrous. Let me make a few points that I hope will give each of us pause before we make foolish statements that will only be disproved later on. 

The 2000 NFL draft proves my point perfectly. The "experts" were in their usual rare form when they made it known that they were certain that there wasn't one QB worthy of the #1 overall pick. Chad Pennington was picked 18th overall and was a serviceable QB for many years. Nobody would argue after looking at his career that he was worthy of the #1 pick. Marc Bulger, who was selected early in the 6th round, ended up having some fairly prolific passing stats for several straight seasons, but never turned out to be a #1 talent. Here's where it gets good. The Patriots decided to take a chance on a guy by the name of Tom Brady. He had one of the skinniest, gawkiest looking bodies you will ever see and was as athletic as a board. Did any of that matter? Of course not. We all know the rest of the story. Why didn't the Cleveland Browns, Belichik's former team and owner of the #1 pick that year, see the light that was Tom Brady? I've got a simple answer for you if your haven't figured it out yet. First, let me continue my point.

I found two definitions of expert that will assist my exposition perfectly. The first definition describes an expert as a person with a high degree of skill in or knowledge of a certain subject. The second would describe a sniper who has the highest grade that can be achieved in marksmanship. Essentially, this is the job of any scout. Locate the target, aim, fire, bullseye. An expert sniper doesn't make mistakes. If anyone in the NFL draft process could be proclaimed an expert, it would certainly be the many scouts that spend countless hours poring over the film of the very same prospects that they have been peering through binoculars to view in both crowded and deserted stadiums all across the nation. However, unlike the aforementioned snipers, the scouts, along with their GM and Coach counterparts, are far from being the "experts" we may think they are. Go ahead and google the draft history of the Lions, Bengals, Patriots, or Colts over the last 10 years. You will quickly find that there are many more misses than hits for whatever team you choose to examine.

Is there any question as to what my point is? If so, here's the answer in a nutshell: When it comes to the draft, the only absolute is that there are no "Experts". Nobody, in reality,  truly knows who will be a bust and who will be a star. So, to all of you bloggers, radio hosts, and fans out there who make fools of yourselves by writing or saying things like, "Cam will be a bust" or "Gabbert will be a bust", stop it. Just stop it. You are not an "expert", and that is absolutely a fact.

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