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Super Bowl Matchups... Could we see the new Overtime rule?


When you look at the Steelers and Packers, it's practically impossible to find a clear-cut advantage anywhere.  While you tend to think the Steelers are more physical, and the Packers are more finesse-oriented, I don't think there's much difference either way.  I'm going to take us on a little ride through the match-ups to see if there's an indication of how the game will play out.  I'm not going to spout statistics, because the numbers over the season don't count in this game.  Will it be high-scoring or a defensive slugfest; a close game or a blow out?  At first glance, who knows?

Star-divide

Steelers Offense vs. Packers Defense:

I'm no fan of Roethlisburger as a person, but he is a tough S.O.B.  Getting to him isn't the same as stopping him, with his uncanny ability to shed, sidestep, and extend plays.  He's got an excellent stable of receivers in Wallace, Ward, Randel-El, along with the emergence of Emanual Sanders and Antonio Brown.  Mendenhall's a great RB, and Heath Miller always shows up when needed.  The Problem:  The O-Line features an aging Flozell Adams and a backup Center in Legurski.

On the other side of the ball, you've got the anchor at NG in B.J. Raji, playing nose-to-nose with Legurski.  Clay Matthews is a non-stop sack machine who'll be matched with Flozell.  Cullen Jenkins is back at DE, and played lights out against the BearsTramon Williams came out of nowhere to be among the best cover corners in the league, and he'll be charged with trying to stay with Speed Racer Wallace.  Then there's Charles Woodson who loves to blitz, and Sam Shields has also played very well.

My take: Pouncey will be sorely missed.  Legurski will struggle calling the blocking assignments, and Raji stuffs the middle and creates inside pressure.  Matthews will be in Ben's jockstrap a lot, so the Big Boy had better be ready to move.  I see Miller making some big plays for Pittsburgh, and Ben getting loose a few times to make plays downfield.  Overall, though, I'm giving the advantage to the Packers D.

Packers Offense vs. Steelers Defense:

Whew, this one's a might tougher.  Rodgers, in my opinion, is the best all around QB in the league.  He's deceptively fast and won't hesitate to run when he needs to.  He creates a tremendous challenge with his accuracy and chemistry with his own great WRs (Jennings, Driver, Jones, and my guy Jordy Nelson).  Tight end isn't great, but might be a surprise in the red zone.  At RB, Starks has been great since coming back.  He's not Mendenhall, but he's a big, strong, positive yardage guy.  The O-Line isn't great, but they're healthy.  The X-Factor could well be Bowling Ball Kuhn.

Across the way, Pittsburgh is beastly in the front seven.  The Packers' rookie Brian Bulaga has to block Lamar Woodley, while Chad Clifton has the honor of blocking James "The Fine King" Harrison.  The Steelers D-Line is stacked, and their ILBs are dangerous.  At CB, Ike Taylor's been playing well, but he'll literally have his hands full.  He uses his hands a lot, so there could be yellow hankies to match the terrible towels.  McFadden is banged up, which could pose even more problems.  So is Polamaulu, which just means he'll have a great game.

My Take:  Rodgers will be on the run, but as he did against the Falcons, he'll make plays.  Rodgers and his WRs love playing indoors.  Still, they're playing the #1 Defense in the league, so the Pack better have some tricks up their sleeve, because "Lebeau knows" defense.  I don't see Starks being much of a factor in the run game, though both he and Kuhn could be effective as outlets.  The Steelers will get to Rodgers a few times, no doubt.  Overall, I'm giving the slightest edge to the Packers, mainly because the Steelers CBs will struggle.

Special Teams:  Crosby and Suisham are both reliable kickers.  The Packers punter Tim Masthay is amazing at putting backspin on the ball, which could actually prove a huge advantage. 

Okay, I guess I've got the edge to the Packers based on my arbitrary and probably meaningless match-up assessment.  But, I wouldn't bet on it. I think we'll see a very close game in the 20's; and overtime, however improbable, is definitely a possibility.   

So bring it.  What have I got wrong, left out, and otherwise screwed up?  On the other hand, don't hesitate to agree with me  if you think it will really go this way. (Rick loves rec's)

Comment 14 comments  |  2 recs  | 

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I hope we do!

I call the New Overtime rule the ‘Brett Favre’ Rule myself. Everyone was kind of irritated during his magical 09 run that he never was able to touch the ball in overtime. I wish that the overtime rule could be extended to all regular season games. In an instance where you’re playing a game where both defenses have collapsed and you’re scoring at will, losing a game in overtime because you weren’t lucky enough to get the winning coin toss seems kind of sad to me!

Good article! :D

"Once again the trousers of evil are yanked down by the mocking hands of justice!"-Revshawn

by Revshawn on Feb 5, 2011 8:19 PM EST reply actions  

I still don’t like this rule. I believe that you should be good enough on defense to hold another team from getting into FG range. To me this is watering down the game. I may be in the minority on this, but I just don’t see this as a good rule change.

Member of Canes Country and the Cat Scratch Reader

by Ivan459 on Feb 5, 2011 9:05 PM EST reply actions  

+infinity

If you’re going to change the overtime rules, you have to go all out and change the format itself (something similar to NCAA? IDK); If not, you got to stick with the sudden death…I mean, do we have to start making sure that both teams have the same number of possessions during the game?

by Tomthehomer on Feb 6, 2011 9:04 AM EST up reply actions  

Big Rodgers fan here

Agree with a lot of what you said with the matchups, BUT I do think Finley is better than you make him out to be. He isn’t an elite tight end (yet), but I think he is definitely above average and could play a huge factor in the passing game.

by SmithnCompany on Feb 5, 2011 9:53 PM EST reply actions  

Finley will be elite as soon as next year

That passing attack is almost unstoppable with him in the lineup; It was unfortunate he got injured so early because I can almost guarantee he would be tops in the league right now for TE’s if he was healthy all year.

by Tomthehomer on Feb 6, 2011 9:05 AM EST up reply actions  

Finley is on I.R. and isn't playing

Very good looking young tight-end though…

by kittylover on Feb 5, 2011 11:00 PM EST reply actions  

YOUR guy, Jordy Nelson??

That’d be OUR guy, Rick. I’m the one who predicted a TD reception for him, on the prediction thread.

Go, Pack!

by bigdavis on Feb 5, 2011 11:19 PM EST reply actions  

Our boy.

But since you guys are older it’s probably far more likely that he is indeed your boy than mine.

"Sometimes the journey is better than the destiny."-John Fox

"Ever noticed that you can say "it is what it is" after anything? It’s the perfect cop-out. Sorry man, I didn’t mean to hit on your girl… But it is what it is!"-Southtunnel (previously El Bacon)

by Flowing Willow on Feb 7, 2011 5:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Damn good receiver, which is why I had him on my Playoff Fantasy Team.

If he’d caught the couple that he dropped, I might have had a shot at going to the Super Bowl next year. Not really, but I did end up in the top 500 out of 350,000+ thanks to picking a lot of Packers early.

Do not argue with an idiot. He will drag you down to his level and beat you
with experience.

by Rick Bates on Feb 7, 2011 6:01 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm a huge Jordy Nelson fan.

K-State represent! :)

"Sometimes the journey is better than the destiny."-John Fox

"Ever noticed that you can say "it is what it is" after anything? It’s the perfect cop-out. Sorry man, I didn’t mean to hit on your girl… But it is what it is!"-Southtunnel (previously El Bacon)

by Flowing Willow on Feb 6, 2011 12:07 AM EST reply actions  

Since you asked for it, I rec'd. =)

I had forgotten about Masthay. He’s been an excellent punter. He had his job cut out for him punting to Hester, and he lived up to the task.

by jamiedk on Feb 6, 2011 1:00 AM EST reply actions  

Also...

I do think that having Legursky at C instead of Pouncey could be a difference maker.

by jamiedk on Feb 6, 2011 1:02 AM EST up reply actions  

I'm with you on the breakdown Rick

I think Pittsburgh’s O-Line will struggle today and i don’t think the Steeler O will be able to keep pace with the Packers Offense. I think your on with the Pack’s affinity for playing indoors…I see the Pack scoring TD’s instead of settling for FG’s and dictating the flow of the game. I’m predicting the Packers 28-17.

GO PACK!!!!!

by paydirt16 on Feb 6, 2011 4:14 PM EST reply actions  

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