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The State of the Carolina Panthers

In one of the hardest schedules in the history of our team, the Panthers have started 0-3. In the preseason we were regarded as one of the top teams to get to the Super Bowl, and the favorites to win the NFC division. Thought not spoken of in many NFL circles, we were slowly gaining respect around the league as a force worthy of being reckoned with and a team able to dig deep into the playoffs.

Why? Because our offense was unstoppable.

Last year we featured a powerful running game led by DeAngelo Williams, whom received 70 fewer carries than other top backs but still finished for 3rd most rushing yards in the NFL. When you combined him with Jonathan Stewart, we ran for over 2,000 yards for the first time in our franchise history. We have one of the strongest receivers in the game in Steve Smith, a decent veteran receiver/blocker in Moose, and one of the best game managers in the NFL in Jake Delhomme, whom has a tendency to make late game-winning drives in the 4th quarter to win games we usually wouldn't win in the first place. It was a powerful combination that drove us to a record of 12-4, and won us the NFC South title.

In spite of retaining all of these players, this year we are 0-3. We have lost our first three games in some of the most horrible ways that the human imagination can imagine. What happened?

Star-divide


Let me take you back to 2003, the year that the Panthers almost won the Super Bowl. It was the season that defined the definition of Foxball: A dominant defense that put pressure on the QB and an offense that featured a strong O-line and a good dose of a smash-mouth rushing attack.

We had a offense similar to the offense we have now. Instead of DeAngelo Williams we had Stephen Davis, and instead of Jonathan Stewart we had DeShaun Foster. We had a O-Line that could compete with the strongest in the league, and our fullback Brad Hoover was still hanging around, always taking care of a linebacker in the second level. We were a team built to run, and we won many games by doing it effectively.

Let's go over the games that took the Panthers to the Super Bowl, and see who got the ball the most.
Against the Cowboys in the Wildcard matchup, the Panthers ran the ball 26 times with Davis and gave the ball to Jake 29 times.

Against the Rams in the 1st round of the playoffs, the Panthers ran the ball 27 times with both Foster and Davis and gave the ball to Delhomme 26 times.

Against the Eagles in the conference championship, they gave the ball to Davis and Foster 34 times and Delhomme only got 14 attempts.


This is Foxball. This is the type of play that will get a team like us to the Super Bowl, and win it. This is the type of play that historically allow the Panthers to play the best football that they can play. To play in any other manner would not allow us to have the same success.

Now let's go more recent. Let's take a look at the two big drives that the Panthers had right before their teams imploded in games against the Cardinals and the Eagles.

Against the Cardinals the Panthers ran the ball 3 times for 41 yards, and Jake Delhomme passed once for 9 yards on the Panthers first drive of the game.

Against the Eagles on the first drive, we had 9 rushing plays for 61 yards, and 4 passing plays for 15 yards.


All of this success has one simple thing in common: The Panthers ran the ball more. Success in the running game allowed Jake Delhomme to take a chance deep downfield after the defense had stacked up in the middle of the field, and more often than not we were able to come down with a big gain. Remember all of those deep balls to Steve Smith last year? That wasn't by accident. The running game helped to free him up to make those catches.

The Panthers are not winning today. Somewhere along the line they got away from this simple little formula and started to pretend that Jake Delhomme is Peytan Manning. That is not the formula for success for this team. When given countless opportunities, the Panthers only ran the ball 13 times against the Cowboys, keeping the ball from one of our biggest playmakers in DeAngelo Williams. For comparison, that is only four plays more than the Panthers ran the ball on the Eagles two weeks ago ON THEIR OPENING DRIVE.

The greatest problem that the Panthers are facing right now is not that Jake Delhomme is playing a bad game. It's not that Julius Peppers isn't playing for his 1 million a game. It isn't because Steve Smith is screwing up routes or the offensive line aren't holding their blocks.

The greatest problem the Panthers face right now is that they have forgotten who they are: A team based on defending and stopping the run. For the first half of the game last night, we played like the Carolina Panthers. We ran the ball 9 times for 44 yards, and passed it 16 times for 94 yards and a TD. We made up for our lack of a defensive line by blitzing often, putting pressure on Tony Romo and holding the Cowboys to only 3 points.

For the second half of the game, we changed our strategy. We suddenly stopped blitzing on defense and dropped our linebackers in pass coverage, giving Romo all day to complete a pass and breathing new life into their running game. We started giving the ball to Jake Delhomme in spite of the double teams on Steve Smith and our depleted WR corps. The Panthers stopped being the Panthers we know and they tried to be something else. It was a game plan we neither had the need to perform, nor the personnel.

That is why we lost the game on Monday night.


We have to change. In spite of being 0-3, we still have a chance to turn this season around. We can win with Jake Delhomme as our QB, but we need to return to being the dominant running team we know we are.  We have to give DeAngelo Williams the ball, and ride on his back to the Playoffs. That is the only way we will succeed.

Once our coaches realize that, we'll be just fine.

0 recs  |  Comment 24 comments |

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I couldn't agree with you more.

I’m extremely thankful we have the early bye week for the team to look in the mirror at every position and realize who we are. We get back to that, we’re good… because there are scant few teams in the league who can stop our run.

Cat Scratch Reader's resident optimist.

by James The Aussie on Sep 30, 2009 11:18 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

You bet!

Get DeAngelo off the sidelines! Put the man on the field and let him run the ball! Just run the football! Rawr! Foxball!

"Once again the trousers of evil are yanked down by the mocking hands of justice!"-Revshawn

by Revshawn on Sep 30, 2009 11:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But can we do it with the rookie fullback instead of Hoover?

I think that remains to be seen, though it’s only been one game.

by RaffyGonzo on Oct 1, 2009 1:59 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nice post Rev

We posted 3 minutes apart. Great minds think alike!

Just run the damn ball!!!!

I blog the Carolina Panthers at www.catscratchreader.com

by Jaxon on Sep 30, 2009 11:34 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Thanks Jaxon!

Better save some of that yelling for the game though! Chances are we’ll need it! Haha!

Just run it! Run the ((Insert expletive here)) ball!

"Once again the trousers of evil are yanked down by the mocking hands of justice!"-Revshawn

by Revshawn on Sep 30, 2009 11:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Back to basics the next two games, boys

In 2 weeks, we host the Skins. Last week, they gave up 154 rushing yards to the lowly Lions – a 4.3 YPC clip. Think that’s bad? The week before, they gave up 126 rushing yards to the lower lowly Rams (ouch!) — that was a 6.0 YPC average! Their best defensive showing of the season was against the Giants in week 1, when they (only) surrendered 103 yards on the ground.

Think even Jeff Davidson’s too dumb to miss those stats?

And the week following, we draw the horribly inept Bucs, who’ve given up 226 rushing yds to the Giants (4.6 YPC), 218 to the Bills (6.2 YPC), and 118 to Dallas (4.9 YPC).

Think we’ll run more than we throw? Ya think?

by bigdavis on Sep 30, 2009 11:42 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Run?

You would “think” so, but nothing would surprise me. It is almost like they (coaches) are trying to prove we don’t have to run to win WHY ?!? Get back to Panther football. I will be there to see us run over the Skins. Do not dissapoint Panthers!

by jwamad on Oct 1, 2009 10:11 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

The Lions have added some new bodies to that line

not saying they are great or anything. Also, I find it humorous that Mr. All-World DT Albert Haynesworth was supposed to make the Redskin line awesome…hmmm. Hows that going?

I blog the Carolina Panthers at www.catscratchreader.com

by Jaxon on Oct 1, 2009 2:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

he's great

and he’ll prove it the next time he’s in a contract year. i don’t know how soon that’s going to be, maybe 2013 or so.

by usana_gaines on Oct 1, 2009 3:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I hope he's still out of the lineup when we play them.

But with a mild hip injury, he’ll probably be back this week.

by bigdavis on Oct 2, 2009 2:55 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Great Post

Let’s get back to who we are. Run the ball and we’ll be just fine!

by DEEZEY on Oct 1, 2009 8:18 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

running and michael vick

can anyone tell me if fox reads this post and will listen to us. we’re actually suggesting fox go back to playing john fox football. he should get it before us, right? speaking of running, what would you guys be willing to give up to get michael vick? i’m thinking a second rd pick, or a 3rd (mainly cuz we have a way of drafting guys that don’t get on the field). what if the eagles decide kolb is the qb of the future (i think he obviously is for the iggles), would you rather give up more for mcnabb and pay for it, cut delhomme and press on, or trade less for vick? if vick could return to his pre-prison form, he could work out for us very well, but i think we should still draft a young qb of the future next year even if we trade for one of those guys. who’s gonna be the coach that pulls the trigger on the trade?

by usana_gaines on Oct 1, 2009 1:47 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Nothing... I would give up nothing to trade for Vick.

Why use a second that could be used to get a legitimate QB next year through the draft? or even a third for that matter? Matt Cassel was had for a second round pick last year, and he threw for over 4,000 yards.

Vick’s QB rating this season is 39.6. Basing a trade on his ability to return to his pre-prison form is a giant, giant IF; he’s showed nothing so far

Vick is going to continue his career as a wilcat, gimmick QB at best.

Cat Scratch Reader's resident optimist.

by James The Aussie on Oct 1, 2009 2:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i disagree

no one has ever had more potential coming out of college than vick. obviously he’s been wasting it, and potential without practice equals nothing. but i think can still be an effective starter because of his legs and his arm strength. he wouldn’t have all those underthrown interceptions jake has. but to this point, he hasn’t shown anything more than what you claim. i think he can be effective in an offense like ours, but he has to prove it first. we’ll see if he ever does, or if you prove to be right. either way, jake has to have a monster next 13 games to even be on the roster come march.

by usana_gaines on Oct 1, 2009 2:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not comparing Michael Vick to Jake Delhomme

I’m comparing Michael Vick to the potential of a future QB. That would be the decision if we traded a 2nd or 3rd round pick.

Theoretically, who would you rather: Tim Tebow or Michael Vick? If you want the Panthers to get a running QB with less than stellar accuracy then do you want a 30 year old Michael Vick, or a 23 year old rookie? Personally, I don’t like Tebow for the Panthers, but given the choice I’d take him over Vick.

I’m sure Vick will eventually improve slightly, but I don’t think he’ll ever be that explosive athlete again who was so exciting when he left Blacksburg. His arm strength is very solid, but without accuracy it’s nothing… ask Jamarcus Russell. Sure, he probably wouldn’t underthrow the WR like Jake has, but 5 yards to the right or left because of innaccuracy and the ball is in the hands of the safety. As a starter Delhomme has averaged 14 INTs per season since 2003. As a starter for the Falcons Vick averaged 16.25 INTs per season, with less yards and touchdowns.

There are going to be some very, very good QBs available in the 2nd and 3rd round of the 2010 draft. Some QB’s who could possibly be 1st round picks any other year, but the stars aligned to make 2010 a QB heavy draft.

I’ve said it before, but Mel Kiper (love him or hate him, he’s a guru) famously stated that if Mark Sanchez came out in 2010 as a senior there would be no guarantee he’d be a first round pick due to the other QB talent. That’s how deep it will be, and I don’t want to risk that opportunity on Vick, even if he could perform at his 2002 peak for 3-4 years.

Cat Scratch Reader's resident optimist.

by James The Aussie on Oct 1, 2009 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

An error with Vick's INT stat

Looking at the wrong column… my mistake.

Vick averaged 11.5 INTs, he averaged 16.25 TDs, 2534 yards
Delhomme averaged 14 INTs, he averaged 20.8 TDs, 3324 yards

Cat Scratch Reader's resident optimist.

by James The Aussie on Oct 1, 2009 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Vick

Has a career QB rating of 75.7 Not only that, but he takes WAY too many sacks. He also fumbles WAY too much. And all of that was before, you know, he spent time away from the game. I don’t see many reasons, if any, that I would want Vick as my starting quarterback right now.

by R-F on Oct 1, 2009 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

fox's comments

what would happen to team chemistry if fox went off on delhomme in a similar fashion to this?

“No excuses for those,” Mora said. “If you’re a kicker in the National Football League, you should make those kicks. Bottom line. End of story. Period. No excuses.”

that’s how you lose your team.

by usana_gaines on Oct 1, 2009 2:21 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

For as much as some may bash Fox for his “it is what it is” attitude towards the media…..I’d much rather have a tight lipped coach than a guy who doesn’t handle things the right way. There are alot of things just better said in private and not through the media. I’d much rather our team handle their own stuff themselves then airing it out through reporters.

by R-F on Oct 1, 2009 5:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

2010 DRAFT, Our answer to our problems

2nd Round, Tony Pike-of Cincinatti, he’s 6-6 with a strong accurate arm
3rd Round, D’anthony Smith – LA Tech, he’s a beast and will only get better(might have to trade up to late 2nd to get him, but would be worth it
 Those 2 would fill our needs perfectly, and look in the later rounds for OL DEPTH and DE DEPTH or even waste another draft pick on another WR..
Key in all of this, is we FIRE FOX AND HIRE COWHER, it’s obvious he wants to be here and if not, go after Shannahan who is an Running Game genuis.

Just my 2 cents, I’ve been getting laughed at every week now for 3 weeks, and have even washed 2 of my friends’ cars over bets on the Panthers… They’re killin me, COME ON DEANGELLO, he’s our key to success, just hand him the damn ball!!!

by LouisianaCP on Oct 1, 2009 4:57 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm telling you guys.

Rusty Smith. Florida Atlantic. He’s the next guy.

"Once again the trousers of evil are yanked down by the mocking hands of justice!"-Revshawn

by Revshawn on Oct 1, 2009 5:39 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Heck with the way Snead and Clausen have been playing

Added to Bradfords injury, we have a good shot at Snead if we do happen to get an early pick. Clausen is playing lights out, Bradford is Bradford, Snead is struggling, he could drop.

by Flowing Willow on Oct 2, 2009 3:21 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

snead

I never cared for Snead, and he is dropping Brian Brohm style. Next year, Josh Johnson will be available. I think he will be the starter for the rest of the year in Tampa, but Freeman is their QB of the future. Johnson has never started and played a whole game, though, so he still has a chance to prove he is great, or a horrible QB. We’ll know by season’s end. Next year, Vick and Johnson will be available, Peppers and Fox will be gone, and our next coach will probably use our 1st draft pick (regardless of round), on the best available QB. Whoever we bring in will still have to compete with Moore and Jake. I don’t know much about Moore’s arm strength, but I think his time in the system and his leadership will make him hard to beat out.

by usana_gaines on Oct 2, 2009 8:33 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Since we're QB rosterbating....

Walter Football’s 2010 and 2011 mock draft has us taking:

2nd round, 2010: QB Max Hall, BYU (who, as most people know i’ve been high on and was my pick for next Panthers QB)
3rd round, 2010: WR Terrance Tolliver, LSU

1st round, 2011: DT Jurrell Casey, USC

Cat Scratch Reader's resident optimist.

by James The Aussie on Oct 2, 2009 9:12 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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