Top 6 Players the Panthers Cannot Afford To Lose In 2009
MichaelP made a couple of astute comments (as he always does) that the Panthers' disappointing seasons that followed playoff appearances (the sad sack '04 and '06 seasons) were more the result of major injuries, and less about "hype" and "expectations" and all the attendant hoopla. Specifically, he noted:
Losing Steve Smith and Kris Jenkins along with being down to our 5th-string RB in ’04.
...
Losing Delhomme for the last three games of ’06, when we went 1-2 and came up one game short of the playoffs. Or losing Morgan, Wharton, and Hartwig within the first two weeks of the season?
I might add Mike Rucker's end-of-season ACL tear in '06. Not that I'm piling on. Just sayin', is all.
Sure, we sucked mightily those two years due to big-time injuries at critical positions. So let's spit in the eye of Fate and see who we could lose this year that would produce the same level of horrid results, countdown list style: Top 6 Players For The Love Of God We Had Better Not Lose!
6- Jon Beason - Losing the heart of our defense wouldn't be quite as bad as losing Morgan was in... well, all those (many, many) seasons when he got hurt. We've got Dan Conner as a more-than-capable (we hope) backup, which should otherwise allow the rest of the defense to keep rockin'. When Morgan went down, we had to move Witherspoon inside where he wasn't as effective and our weakside play was severely diminished. While Conner wouldn't be the Pro Bowl/All-Pro type player that Beason is, the hope is that he would at least allow the other LBs to remain focused on their positions.
5- Travelle Wharton - This is counter-intuitive, since we've got guys who can step in to fill the LG role. But Wharton's real value comes in his ability to step into the LT position in a time of need. If Gross is out for a series or two, or a game or two, Wharton moves over and the drop-off is not epic in scale. If Otah goes down for any serious length of time, then Gross can move to the RT, Wharton slides to LT and we plug in a guard. All of our contingency plans revolve around Wharton's ability to slide out to Tackle. If he's out there, it means we're not going to be as effective as we could be. But if he's not there, we're really screwed (See: Abraham v. Delhomme, 2007).
4- Chris Gamble - Big, big problems. Last season, Carolina was 8th best in the league at shutting down a QB's #1 receiver. We were 18th and 17th at shutting down their #2 and #3, respectively. That's the sort of drop off between Chris Gamble matched up on their top guy versus Richard Marshall against their third guy. We lose Gamble, then we're likely looking at CJ Wilson starting opposite Marshall, with Sherron Martin at nickel. That, my friends, is not a good position for us to be in.
3- Ma'ake Kemoeatu - As bad as it would be to lose our best pass defender, it would be one thousand times worse to lose our best run defender. You think we have trouble getting off the field on third downs now? Try it when the other team's looking at 3rd and 1 fifteen times per game, and our biggest D Tackle is an undrafted guy from the practice squad we signed off the Montreal Alouettes roster. If we don't have Ma'ake, we don't stop the run. Ever. Imagine the pain you felt in overtime of the Giants game last year, watching Derrick Ward go crazy, except that's happening in the second, third and fourth quarters.
2- Steve Smith - Armageddon? I don't think so. Not having Smitty costs us two or three games and knee-caps our passing attack, but it's not the end of the world. Remember the last time he went down, 2004? Moose had his best season, made it to the Pro Bowl and was named first team All-Pro (then signed with Chicago, and... nevermind, too painful). Wouldn't quite happen the same way, but the offense could adjust. We just lose the big play is all, and there are places where that'll cost us. Conversely, with him gone, Jake's not forcing the ball into places it doesn't belong (see: Nnamdi Asomugha v. Delhomme, Oakland '08).
1- Jake Delhomme - Yes, this really is Armageddon. Old Testament, real wrath of God type stuff. Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Rivers and seas boiling! Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together... mass hysteria! The Panthers cannot operate without competent and capable leadership at the quarterback position. We have seen no proof that we have anything of substance behind Jake (and whether Jake himself is a thing of substance... well, that's your call). We suffer at least five more losses without Jake. Seriously, if Jake goes down, we may very well be looking at new team management next season.
Any other vital players you think deserve to be on the list? Any on the list that shouldn't be? Obviously, if we go through halfbacks like we did in '04 or the '05 playoffs, we're screwed no matter how you shake it up.
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Comments
One thing...
I think Josh McCown is good enough to hold things together over a two to three game stretch, but if Jake went down with something long-term early, yeah, we’d be screwed and a half.
by MichaelProcton on May 27, 2009 4:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Agreed…as much as I would love to recreate the David Carr/Vinny Testaverde/Matt Moore experience of 2007, I think I would like Jake to stay healthy.
by bengoodfella on May 28, 2009 2:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What about DeAngelo Williams?
Sure Stewart could fill in adequately, but the run is essentially the heart of our offense (the run and Steve Smith that is).
by chillicothe20 on May 27, 2009 9:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Stewart's the total package.
I love me some DeAngelo, and I think he’s a better talent than DeShaun Foster Adrian Peterson. More succinctly, I think he’ll be the best RB in the league this season. I ain’t jokin’, first on my fantasy draft board. But if he does get knocked out, the other half of Double Trouble’s coming in throwing haymakers. And the kid from A&M’s got skills, too. I’m just not as concerned about DeAngelo going down because the depth is so solid behind him.
by r3 on May 28, 2009 1:22 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Again, agreed…we have depth at running back and really if the O Line can stay healthy and block well, we have a couple guys who can run behind them with success in my mind.
by bengoodfella on May 28, 2009 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I bet I could get 5 yards running behind Vincent and Otah
But I don’t really want to test that theory ;)
I blog the Carolina Panthers at www.catscratchreader.com
by Jaxon on May 28, 2009 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would test it…just once and then I would be carted off to the hospital immediately after that. That’s my point though, that success at the running back position depends on the blocking as well as the running.
by bengoodfella on May 28, 2009 5:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
As far as blocking goes though...
…we really do have some great linemen with size and power, not to mention great receivers who take pride in downfield blocking, and a FB whose lead blocking ability is way underappreciated in my opinion.
by NSpicer on May 28, 2009 7:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nice post r3
I can’t disagree with the list. I might put Beason higher on it and I notice a certain PB DE is NOT included (which I agree). The Panthers need to plan like he won’t be there anyway.
I blog the Carolina Panthers at www.catscratchreader.com
by Jaxon on May 27, 2009 10:55 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Thanks, Jax!
Beason’s down on the list chiefly because we have decent depth at LB. The drop-off is not as severe as, say, Jordan Gross to Geoff Schwartz. He only made the list because he’s so damned good a player and leader that we’d miss him, even if his backup played great.
You’re absolutely right about Pep. Right now, he’s not there, and that’s how you’ve got to look at it. As it happens, I think that our pass rush is going to be fantastic this year, with or without him. I think we’ll be 100% better with Pep at full bore, but if he’s not involved then I still think we’ll be 50% better than last season.
by r3 on May 28, 2009 1:14 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Without Steve Smith last year we won 100% of our games
Ok, so take a few games due to his game-winning Houdini catches. But the run game carried us last year. And without Smitty Jake seemed to spread the ball around a bit more. Jarrett and Rosario were making key plays until Smitty came back.
on behalf of tha dirty south: soul food, carolina blue, southern hospitality, and tha queen city
by southtunnel on May 27, 2009 10:58 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
...they were?
Jarrett went 2/36 over those two games, and after Rosario’s big game against SD (who have had trouble covering TEs for YEARS…they were #26 against TEs this year), he went 1/6.
by MichaelProcton on May 27, 2009 11:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You missed the point
I had to do a double take on Jarrett’s stats to believe he only had 2 receptions those games. Duly noted.
My point was Jake spread the ball around better those 2 games. Moose was 11/115, Rosario was 8/102, DJ Hackett (not a TE) went 6/70… yet averaged 1 rec per game the rest of the season when he was active.
I hope you are not implying that had Smitty been playing the other receivers would have had similar stats. Jake can’t take his eyes off Smitty.
on behalf of tha dirty south: soul food, carolina blue, southern hospitality, and tha queen city
by southtunnel on May 28, 2009 8:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Of course they wouldn't be the same...
they’d be a slot lower on the depth chart with the top spot occupied by one of the best WRs in the NFL. But the notion that Delhomme throws only to Smith is ludicrous. In 14 games with Smith (as the #2 WR), Muhammad averaged 57.7 YPG. In two games without him (as the #1 WR), he averaged 57.5. Hackett was also injured shortly after getting the chance to start in those two games.
by MichaelProcton on May 28, 2009 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, it took only 2 games for Hackett to go down
I wouldn’t be surprised if the Panthers were his swan song because of his injury history. Too bad because when healthy he was a good WR, should have been a good #3 for us but…
I blog the Carolina Panthers at www.catscratchreader.com
by Jaxon on May 29, 2009 9:00 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He was at least getting looks this offseason...
From the Ravens and Redskins.
by MichaelProcton on May 29, 2009 1:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not only Smith all the time
Just most the time. I think it ludicrous that you would think Jake wouldn’t throw to one if the most dangerous weapons in the NFL most if the time. Wouldn’t you?
But really you think had Smitty been in the SD game, we would have been able to run that 2 minute drill to that level if perfection? No way. Jake would have launched the ball down field to Smitty in double coverage. And the game would have been decided on another potential Whoodini catch.
on behalf of tha dirty south: soul food, carolina blue, southern hospitality, and tha queen city
by southtunnel on May 30, 2009 1:18 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Excellent point
Part of the Panthers passing game issues are that Jake can ONLY see 1 receiver: Steve Smith. I mean, granted—if I were a QB…I’d be looking at my numbero uno constantly as well. But, as you said, Jake spread the ball really well when he wasn’t able to lock in on his preferred guy. In order for our passing game to be better, Jake has to look to the #2 and #3 guy as well as our TEs.
by boywonderncsu on Jun 1, 2009 2:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good lord...
Muhammad put up 65-923-5 last year. Name me another #2 of that age and price range who put up markedly better numbers.
by MichaelProcton on Jun 1, 2009 4:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well even though he was hurt part of the year and just a shell of his former self and losing playing time to a 2nd year rising player
Marvin Harrison did alright for Indy
by blueverinefan on Jun 4, 2009 5:46 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
With just 5 fewer catches...
He had almost 300 fewer yards. Plus, he was getting paid about six (!!!) times more.
Remember, kids...don't ever let facts get in the way of your argument.
by MichaelProcton on Jun 4, 2009 8:46 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good point
But Marvin was playing the slot a lot too. Hes just robbed of his speed and strength all he has left is his hands and his mind. Oh well lol
by blueverinefan on Jun 4, 2009 10:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe if Steve Smith goes down Daunte Rosario will have a big game.
Wouldn’t that be fun? :D
"Once again the trowsers of evil are yanked down by the mocking hands of justice!"-Revshawn
by Revshawn on May 27, 2009 11:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
If Beason went down
who would replace him as the emotional leader on the D. I’m thinking Chris Harris, maybe even Peppers (maybe). Now what if Harris goes down, can Salley or Martin step up?
by Flowing Willow on May 28, 2009 3:11 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
PEPPERS! EMOTIONAL LEADER!
BWAHAHAHAHAHAHA!
by the bomb dot com on May 28, 2009 8:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, I chuckled on that one too
I think it would be Diggs or Lewis, they seem to be the most vocal.
I blog the Carolina Panthers at www.catscratchreader.com
by Jaxon on May 28, 2009 8:37 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Salley should be able to step right in for Harris
He’s starting his 4th season and has been healthy for over a year. Honestly he should be challenging Harris for the starting job and if not then he might be gone once his contract is up.
I blog the Carolina Panthers at www.catscratchreader.com
by Jaxon on May 28, 2009 8:36 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I said maybe
geez you guys hate Peppers here. : ) Anyways, I had a chuckle of my own there, Salley challenging Harris, one of the better SS’s in the league, for the starting position. That made me laugh.
by Flowing Willow on May 30, 2009 6:05 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
r3
I love the Ghostbusters reference!
Will Parker
by WillParker81 on Jun 1, 2009 2:01 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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