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Around SBN: Africa Cup Of Nations Semifinal: Black Stars Ripe For Upset?

Coverage Units Also Killing Panthers

The Panthers' struggles throwing the ball (they are 28th in the NFL in passing yards), stopping the run (26th) and committing turnovers (the NFL's worst) this season have been well-documented. Those deficiencies have been big factors in Carolina's descent from division winner last season to 4-7 team this year.

But another trend startled me: The Panthers are the NFL's worst in both kickoff and punt return average yards allowed. Carolina has permitted opposing kick returners to gain 12.8 yards per punt return and 29.6 yards per kickoff return. Only three NFL teams, meanwhile, get fewer yards per kickoff return than the Panthers' 20.2 yards.

A closer look at the numbers reveals that the Panthers coverage and return units are not quite as bad as the aforementioned figures would indicate. But they have certainly harmed a team that has little margin for error on special teams because of its pedestrian offense (20th in the NFL):

Star-divide

Let's start with covering punt returns. Carolina has allowed opponents to return 25 punts for 320 yards and a touchdown. That 12.8 average exceeds the 11.5 yards per return allowed by the Packers, the 2nd-worst figure in the NFL. Only five teams have allowed more than 320 yards.

Better indicators of how effective punt coverage units are, however, are average net yards per punt and the number of punts downed inside the 20. Carolina flops in these categories, too. Carolina averages 37.2 net yards per punt, tied for 5th-worst in the NFL with the Falcons. (The Packers have the worst average, 34.2). Carolina has downed only 16 punts inside the 20, tied for 22nd in the NFL.

The Panthers are just as ineffective covering kickoffs. Carolina has allowed opponents to return 28 kickoffs for 829 yards and a touchdown. That 29.6 average exceeds the 26.5 yards per return allowed by the Steelers, the 2nd-worst figure in the league. Fortunately for the Panthers, they have blasted 18 of 46 kickoffs into the end zone for touchbacks. That 40 percent touchback rate is second in the NFL, trailing only Atlanta's 41.5 percent rate on 53 kickoffs.

How bad has Carolina's kickoff coverage unit been, then? Despite that No. 2 touchback rate, the Panthers allow opponents to start drives following kickoffs at their 27. Twenty-two teams reward their defense with a longer field to defend on average.

Carolina has stopped opposing kickoff returners inside the 20 just 4 times. Only the Rams and Eagles have recorded as few stops inside the 20. (To be fair, the 28 returns Carolina has covered is tied with Cleveland for second-fewest in the NFL. The Rams have covered 31 kickoffs and the Eagles 57).

The Panthers kickoff return unit has not compensated for that poor coverage. Carolina has returned 36 kickoffs for 726 yards. That 20.2 average is 29th in the NFL, but better than the Raiders' NFL-worst 18.2 mark. The Panthers kickoff return unit has not been explosive either. Carolina has not returned a kickoff for a touchdown and its long return of 55 yards ranks 23rd in the NFL. The Panthers have just 18 returns of 20-plus yards, 30th in the NFL. (Albeit Carolina is only 25th in total returns).

Want to end this column with some positive news? Sure. The Panthers punt return unit has been good. Carolina averages 9.9 yards per return, tied for 8th in the NFL. The Panthers have three returns of at least 20 yards (8th in the league) and their long return of 37 yards is 12th in the NFL.

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Nice....

That just shows that we pretty much are mediocre on offense, defense, and special teams. Great! Danny Crossman needs to get the axe!

by J-Mid. on Dec 4, 2009 2:40 PM EST reply actions  

Hard to swallow.

I know we’ve had poor special teams for years but I didn’t know they were that poor this year.

Crossman has needed the boot for a while…

by GuyIncognito on Dec 4, 2009 2:59 PM EST up reply actions  

We were worse last season

At least we’ve improved on punt returns

I blog the Carolina Panthers at www.catscratchreader.com

by Jaxon on Dec 5, 2009 10:47 AM EST up reply actions  

Actually we haven't.

Last year, Mark Jones returned 40 punts for 435 yds, a 10.9 average (overall, with a few ounts being fielded by others, our team totals were 43 for 445, a 10.3 average.

This year Captain Munnerlin is the main guy, returning 20 punts for 173 yds, an 8.7 average (overall, the team shows 22 returned for 177 yds, or 8.0 yds average.

Lsst year’s longest punt return was 55 yds, this year only 34.

Overall PFF rates our punt return production as -2.2, vs +2.7 in 2008.

Overall NFL rankings for the 2 years: Captain Munnerlin ranks #214 of 235 punt returners this year — last year, Mark Jones ranked #6 of 269 punt returners!

Like every ST return and coverage ranking (excluding kickers, where Jason Baker and Rhys Lloyd rank high) we stink. Inevitable conclusion, Danny Crossman must be replaced.

by bigdavis on Dec 5, 2009 11:14 AM EST up reply actions  

Not exactly.

The Dallas Morning News had us in the top 10 two of the last four years.

Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt

by MichaelProcton on Dec 9, 2009 1:32 AM EST up reply actions  

+1...three straight seasons of being one of the 5 worst

in 3 of 4 categories…its time for a change

I blog the Carolina Panthers at www.catscratchreader.com

by Jaxon on Dec 5, 2009 10:47 AM EST up reply actions  

This says to me...

…that in addition to coaching, the Panthers’ recent drafts haven’t been very good in the latter rounds where most of the special teamers are drafted.

by The Duke Dude on Dec 4, 2009 2:58 PM EST reply actions  

Hard to find your entire ST unit from the draft.

Most other teams can take a chance on signing vets, but we can’t because of the ridiculous Peppers cap number.

Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt

by MichaelProcton on Dec 9, 2009 1:38 AM EST up reply actions  

Great points and analysis

all around.

Problems indicate poor coaching, shallow talent, and bad personnel decisions, not necessarily the trifecta, but pretty close.

by the bomb dot com on Dec 4, 2009 11:01 PM EST reply actions  

Thank you for acknowledging the second and third problems.

Coaching can’t overcome a lack of talent.

Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt

by MichaelProcton on Dec 9, 2009 1:37 AM EST up reply actions  

If you're going to look at punts inside the 20...

You should probably look at percentage. Sauerbrun might rank low in total I20s, but he also hasn’t punted that often. Only two punters with fewer kicks have more I20s.

You should probably also note that we’re only second in TB% despite the fact that Lloyd is 1st in endzone kicks by a wide margin. Just goes to show opponents aren’t afraid to take it out.

Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt

by MichaelProcton on Dec 9, 2009 1:37 AM EST reply actions  

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