Surprisingly the panthers can pull out of the year with a playoff spot. The things that they have going for them are their 0 - 3 out of conference record meaning a higher in conference record and if they win out, their strength of victory (Vikings, Saints, Patriots, if they win these). If the Panthers win out the have a record of 9 - 7. This may not sound good but they would have the advantage over all other teams in a tiebreaker with them other than the Eagles. The sixth spot would be open for the panthers. The Packers would have to finish with a max record of 2 - 3, but they have Arizona, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh, all difficult games for them. This would leave them with a max total record of 9 - 7 which would be the same or less than the panthers. Then we would go through the tiebreaker:
- Head-to-head, if applicable. Not
- Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference. Anywhere from 8 - 4 to 7 - 5. If 8 - 4, then go to next (Panthers currently 4 - 4 and win out would give them 8 - 4 too)
- Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four. Common games: Vikings, Tampa, Dallas, Arizona. Green Bay record in these from 1 - 4 to 2 - 3 and if Panthers win out they will be 4 - 1
So the panthers would beat the packers in a tie-breaker. Next would be for the panthers to pass the Giants. The win out panthers will beat the Giants and force them to win all their games to finish 10 - 6 and out of the panthers but if they lose one other game, they will be 9 - 7 and tied with the panthers but will lose the tiebreaker against them because the panthers will have beat them.
Next in the list for the panthers to pass is the Falcons. If they finish with a maximum of 3-2 then their maximum finishing record will be 9 - 7 with the panthers. The tie-breaker this time would be:
- Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs). 1-1 for both
- Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division. Panthers would be 4 - 2, Falcons would be from 4-2 to 2-4. If it is 4 - 2 then go to next step.
- Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games. AKA worst record in uncommon games for panthers that would be The vikings and the Cardinals. If they win out then they will be 2-0 while the falcons uncommon games are Chicago and San Francisco, giving them a 2-0 record too.
- Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference. Panthers would be 8-4. Falcons would be anywhere from 6-6 to 8-4 if they get 8-4 then
- Strength of victory.If the Panthers win out with their schedule then they will most likely have better strength of victory. 99.99% sure.
After the Falcons, next in line would be San Francisco. If they lose at least one in-conference game then their max record is 9 - 7 and the tie-breaker comes in again:
1. Head-to-head, if applicable.Not
2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.Carolina 8-4. San Fransisco 8 - 4
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.Common Games: Arizona, Atlanta, Philadelphia. Not enough
4. Strength of victory.Again The panthers would crush any team if they win out
Chicago would come next and have to win all their games. Carolina would beat them in Confrence.
So that's it. The Panthers will have an excellent shot if they win out. Here are the key Points for the Panthers to make the playoffs.
Panthers Win out 3.125%
Green Bay loses 3 of their next 5 50%
Giants lose one other game other than the Carolina game 93.75%
Atlanta loses 2 81.25%
San Francisco loses one In-Conference game. 93.75%
If all this occurs then the panthers are in the playoffs. 1.1157989502% (35.70556641% if they win out)
This is slightly low because it rules out Philadelphia collapsing and Arizona collapsing if San Francisco wins out. It also doesn't include rare situations where
There is still some hope
There is actually a weird very impossible way that the panthers could lose against the Buccaneers and the patriots and still get in but the would be near impossible.