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Morning Of The Red Birds

[Note: My struggles with the visual editor continue as I can't remove the italics from the lower portion of this post. My apologies if it is difficult to read.]

So here we are, another week has passed by since our bitter loss in New Orleans. Some palettes have been swiped clean, meanwhile others still have the taste of defeat salivating in their mouths and are looking for a side of vengeance this week.

We have all set our sights on shooting the Falcons down and it seems entirely possible that we may do so. They are coming into our home and the Panthers are deep in the under-dog position, where we love to be. We all know what Carolina needs to do but I'm sure most of you are worried of what we will do, just as I am. Do we play Foxball or take flight courtesy Jeffair?

Prediction: Foxball. I think even Jeff understands what we need do now... then again, I've thought that for a while and he keeps amazing me.

Star-divide

Although my previous prediction (one which I still stand by), earlier in the week, has Carolina winning 20-17, the Falcons have averaged over 25 points per game this season, meanwhile our defense has given up an average of 24 per game. With that, I won't be too surprised if my prediction ends up on the lower end of the actual score.

Carolina and Atlanta enter this game giving up, on average, 122(#23) and 123(#24) yards on the ground, respectively. The biggest difference here, defensively speaking, is Carolina's 6th ranked pass defense versus Atlanta's 26th. That seems pretty significant...

Until you look on the other side of the ball... With Jake yet to find himself this season (bravo on two interception-free games - it's like he's in rehab for QB's, one step at a time), the Falcons may not need anything more than a 26th ranked pass defense to keep Delhomme in check today.

That brings us to the question: which Jake will we see today? Will we all be pleasantly surprised to see the re-emergence of Ol' Jake or will we get another dose of Jake "Oops, wrong team" Delhomme?

Prediction: Jake Delhomme - 200+ yards, 1 TD, 0 INT

As I write this, there is a small voice in the back of my mind asking "An entire game with no interceptions? Are you sure?". Yes, fellow Panther fans, I am sure. Two weeks clean now, I think Delhomme can finally kick the habit this week!

So, I gave'em 'one of them-there elusi-fy-ing touchdowns' but who's going to be the lucky recipient of these rare gifts? Follow me off of the ledge here, bringing in touchdown number two of the season, it's going to be the mighty, mighty Steve Smith! Something's going to piss him off and we all know what happens when Steve Smith gets angry.

Prediction: Steve Smith - 100+ yards, 1 TD

Who accounts for the other 100? I'm looking for Jarrett to catch a few but overall I see Barnidge and Rosario, if he plays, being the other outlets.

That takes care of the ailing side of things but what about the meat of our offense? That has been a prominent question running through my mind daily as I've followed Williams' practices (or lack of, I suppose). My opinions are split here, so rather than try and predict if he plays or not, I'll simply provide predictions for both options...

Prediction W/ D-Will:
DeAngelo Williams - 55 yards
Jonathan Stewart - 75 yards, 1 TD
Tyrell Sutton - 15 yards


Prediction W/O D-Will:
Jonathan Stewart - 110 yards, 1 TD
Tyrell Sutton - 35 yards
Mike Goodson - 8 yards, 12 rec. yards

Regardless of whether Williams plays or not, I don't think he will be as effective as usual. His knee certainly isn't going to be 100% and he'll probably see less carries to avoid further aggravation. Stewart is going to have to step up, meanwhile I think Sutton will spell him. I expect Goodson will see a couple of carries and reception or two if Williams is a no-go.

All together, I expect the offense to yield a total of 350 yards, give or take.

I've put together a short list of vows for this game in an attempt to better support Carolina.

  1. I will not cringe every time Delhomme drops back to pass.
  2. I will not criticize Davidson for his play-calling until the game is complete.
  3. I will watch this game with an open mind to both passing and running.
  4. I will not start DeAngelo Williams in my FFL for if I do, he will surely have a miserable game.
  5. I will not spend 3 hours cursing Davidson for everything he is worth.
As you can see, these vows are, in majority, for Jeff Davidson. Just as Jake is our QB, Davidson is our O.C. and, as much as I currently dislike him, I will support his and Fox's game plan into the waning seconds of the game, until it is complete.

Why? It may be the furthest stretch thus far but I expect them to finally get the play calling right this week!

With just over 3 hours remaining before Carolina and Atlanta take the field, I'm sure that this will be a close one, as usual, but I'm very confident that we can edge Atlanta out in the end.

Final Prediction: Carolina 20 - Atlanta 17

Carolina's MVP: Jonathan Stewart
Atlanta's MVP:
Michael Turner

Both will be essential in converting third & short, a down I expect both teams to see a lot of today. Both are power backs with only a 9 pound difference between the two, and both will be responsible for extending what would otherwise be punting drives for their team. Whichever back ends up with the better stat line at the end of the day could very well lead to which team comes out victorious.

I can't wait to see what unfolds this week.

On a side note, I wonder how Green Bay feels about letting Tyrell Sutton go? Ryan Grant is playing just above mediocrity and I doubt how many carries Ahman Green can take before he falls apart. Sutton hasn't received the chance to prove himself yet but Green Bay is one misstep away from having no valid threat at running back. 

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Nice post, D-Ranged1

I’m visualizing Gary Barnidge catching his first TD pass today, 20 yd throw, +20 YAC.

A second for Smitty, and 2 rushing TD’s, one from Mike Goodson — with a FG, we win 31-17. If we can take this game, we play Miami on Thursday, and the Falcons have to go to play the NYG — possible scenario is Atlanta and Carolina both at 5-5 after 10 weeks. Today could break our season, and may well make it.

by bigdavis on Nov 15, 2009 11:10 AM EST reply actions  

I take it back on Goodson

He’s inactive today. (I must have meant Stewart)

by bigdavis on Nov 15, 2009 11:48 AM EST up reply actions  

lol

That’s odd! They must be pretty sure of Williams being able to run on that knee… That, or Sutton has surpassed Goodson.. Any word if he’s active?

Ah, that means no screens to Goodson, my predictions are screwed before the game even starts. I’m good.

People speculate on what comes next, in the afterlife. I just hope they serve collards.

by D-Ranged1 on Nov 15, 2009 11:56 AM EST up reply actions  

Goodson was probably down because he's less versatile than Sutton.

By the time we’re back to our two FBs fully healthy, he’ll probably be back up.

Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt

by MichaelProcton on Nov 16, 2009 12:15 AM EST up reply actions  

Wait, nevermind! My Goodson prediction was W/O Williams. I'm safe, for now.

People speculate on what comes next, in the afterlife. I just hope they serve collards.

by D-Ranged1 on Nov 15, 2009 11:57 AM EST up reply actions  

I hope you’re right :)

I’d love to see Goodson get a TD. Hell, I’d love to see Carolina score 31 points regardless who gets the TD. Thus far this season, we’re undefeated when scoring 21 or more points… which isn’t saying much considering we’ve only done so twice but it’s something nice to think of for a change.

People speculate on what comes next, in the afterlife. I just hope they serve collards.

by D-Ranged1 on Nov 15, 2009 11:48 AM EST reply actions  

What's that Fox says, again?

20 points should be enough to beat any NFL team.

Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt

by MichaelProcton on Nov 16, 2009 12:15 AM EST up reply actions  

GB probably doesn't miss SUtton too much.

He was going to be no better than a PS guy there. Regardless of Grant’s performance overall on the season, they’re pretty well locked into him with that contract. You also failed to mention their young backs, Brandon Jackson and DeShawn Wynn. Both have shown plenty of potential.

Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt

by MichaelProcton on Nov 16, 2009 12:14 AM EST reply actions  

Failed to mention? No sir, intentionally left unmentioned. I’m not too fond of either at the moment, nor Grant. I’d say Green is the best back on their team at 32.

People speculate on what comes next, in the afterlife. I just hope they serve collards.

by D-Ranged1 on Nov 16, 2009 6:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Funny, the Packers don't agree.

Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt

by MichaelProcton on Nov 17, 2009 2:57 PM EST up reply actions  

I wouldn’t expect them to after losing to Tampa Bay.

People speculate on what comes next, in the afterlife. I just hope they serve collards.

by D-Ranged1 on Nov 17, 2009 3:16 PM EST up reply actions  

...which is better than, say, losing to Buffalo?

Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt

by MichaelProcton on Nov 17, 2009 3:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Buffalo has already beaten Tampa on their way to 3-6. Our loss was by far a fluke that I’m sure we all know the in’s and out’s of by now.

Lets remember Tampa also lost to Washington to give them their first win. Tampa’s sole win of the season comes from Green Bay in a reasonably high scoring bout, allowing both teams the chance to take the victory.

So yes, I’d say losing to Tampa is worse than losing to Buffalo, irrelevant as it may be to rather or not Green Bays backs are anything more than mediocre.

I simply don’t see Ryan Grant being in the same class as Williams, Peterson, MJD, Johnson, etc – nor do I see him improving to that class in future seasons. He may be in the same class as Stewart, which is stretching it a bit.

Getting rid of Sutton just doesn’t seem like a viable option when you’re going to turn around and sign Green mid-way through the season. I’d much rather have a rookie with half a season experience under his belt than a back that could break down at any given moment, despite his history with the team.

Green Bay is not going to go to the Super Bowl this year, they’re not that high of a caliber team yet, so why are they signing players at the end of their careers over players that could blossom into a feature back?

Regardless, I’m glad they dropped Sutton as I’m glad he is here in Carolina.

People speculate on what comes next, in the afterlife. I just hope they serve collards.

by D-Ranged1 on Nov 17, 2009 3:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Sutton's nowhere near as ready to contribute now as Green is.

They cut him because he wasn’t great in pass pro, and had a lot of growing to do.

Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt

by MichaelProcton on Nov 18, 2009 12:21 AM EST up reply actions  

Then don't play him in pass pro

Send him out on routes, or hand it off to him.

by Flowing Willow on Nov 18, 2009 1:44 AM EST up reply actions  

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