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Week 15: Offensive Preview Panthers @ Giants

The clash of the NFC Titans is almost upon us.

The two injuries to watch during this game is the running back for the Giants Brandon Jacobs, and the DT run stopper for the Panthers Maake Kemoeatu. If Brandon Jacobs is out, the Panthers will have a much easier time stopping the run. If Maake is out, the run will become that much more effective along the interior of the line. No news yet on those injuries, but you can view them at http://www.nfl.com/injuries as soon as the information becomes available. The big story here is going to be Jacobs. The Giants are 0-2 without him.

The Panthers have to get the running game going against a defense that is rated 4th in defending the rush. It sounds like a tall order, but that's why the Giants are 11-3. However, the Panthers are good at executing the run, that's why they're 4th in the league in performing it. It'll all come down to a battle in the trenches. In past seasons where a injured offensive line would have doomed us in this game, our offensive line is completely healthy except for the recent loss of Keydrick Vincent. Vincent is replaced by Jeremy Bridges, so it doesn't really affect us as much as it usually would. Will it be enough though?

 

Star-divide

We won't see any crazy 4-4 defenses like Denver tried to do. We'll see a hard-nosed defense that is used to stopping everything that their opponents try to do. They have held 9 out of 15 teams 17 points or below. Brian Westbrook is the only man who was able to break out for 100 yard against them, while he made only 26 yards in his previous encounter against the Giants. We will have to succeed where other teams have failed, and I have a feeling that early in the game we will have to get the ball to Steve Smith in order to soften their run defense. In fact, while I'm on the subject of Steve Smith, here's the top 5 matchups of week 16.

Steve Smith vs Corey Webster

This corner has been a nightmare all year. They will attempt to match him up against Steve Smith. As I say attempt, I mean attempt. Steve Smith has shown that no mere mortal can cover him one on one, so Corey will need some help from his safeties. They know the ball is going to go to Steve Smith, so he's going to get double covered every play. One mistake and the ball is going to him. Without a mistake....well....the ball is probably going to him anyway. With the run defense at the top of the league and their pass defense only average, it has to be done.

Moose vs Aaron Ross

Aaron is their other corner on his second year. He's definately not as good as the guy on the other side, and if Jake were to give the ball to him a couple of times early in the game it would do wonders to help Steve Smith out. During the Bucs game against a tough defense, right after Moose made a reception in midfield, two plays later the ball went to Steve Smith in the endzone for a touchdown. The Giants have a tough defense as well, so they will need to be reminded that we have two good starting receivers on the field, not one.

Offensive line vs Defensive Line

The highlight on this matchup is the injuries. The Giants have two starting linemen suffering from injuries. DE Justin Tuck is the major one, he's one of the leading defensive ends of the NFL at 12 sacks, 60 tackles, 3 forced fumbles, and a INT. As of Wednesday, he's listed on the injury report as limited in practice with a lower leg injury. One of their DT Fred Robbins is injured as well, listed as not being able to practice at this time. On the Panthers side of the ball, we've lost Keydrick Vincent to injury and he's probably gone for this game. However, he is replaced by Jeremy Bridges, whom has proven time and time again that he can pitch in at any part of the line. You can thank John Fox and his purge on guards during the off-season for that.

DJ Hackett vs Dwayne Jarrett

One of these guys need to hurry up and win the 3rd receiver spot. Neither one of them are helping out the team that much, and when a ball is thrown to them they usually drop them. Remind you of anyone? Dwayne Jarrett is a promising player physically, but he's not shown any of it on the field. Perhaps we'll see more of him when Moose retires, but it's not really an encouraging thing when Dwayne can't win the 3rd spot against DJ. Meanwhile, Steve Smith was his teammate at USC, and he's already nailed down a starting spot with the Giants and over 500 yards at the 3rd receiver spot most of the season. Jarrett needs to prove himself, and soon. Can he be inspired to outdo his teammate? I hope so.

Closing words

Finally, Smash and Dash need to do what they usually do. It's going to be tough to break a long run, but once the passing game is established they need to get back to what they're used to doing. That's the only way the Panthers will win. That's how they've been winning the whole season. They need to run the football. The best defense is a good offense. Keep Eli Manning off the field by staying on it. There are a thousand ways you can say it.

At the end of the day, it's all on the line. Panthers win this game they get home field advantage. That's all that matters in the end.

Go Panthers! And Happy Holidays everyone! Merry Christmas to all.

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Dwayne Jarrett deserves more credit

Sure he hasn’t been playing lights out football, but he has made some tough grabs… especially on a few crucial 3rd downs. He get’s very few opportunities. We are a run first team, and when we pass Jake almost always looks for Smitty and the long ball first. I have seen DJ running more short routes.

I think he will be fine, but Fox has to start fitting him into the game plan better.

on behalf of tha dirty south: soul food, carolina blue, southern hospitality, and tha queen city

by southtunnel on Dec 18, 2008 8:21 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think he'll get his chance when Moose retires. Until then, I have this to say.

For God’s sake, when he does get those rare opportunities he doesn’t need to drop the football. You see what irritates me is that his teammate from USC Steve Smith was available in the same part of the draft we chose Jarrett in at pick #45. I was yelling at my TV screen for the Panthers to take Steve Smith.

“Take Steve Smith! He’s a beast and has talent! Jarrett is only good because he’s tall!” I said, but John Fox didn’t seem to be listening to me. He took Jarrett anyway and Steve Smith went to the Giants 6 picks later.

Now Jarrett is buried in our depth chart, while Steve Smith leads his team in receptions. That’s what irritates me the most. Too much emphasis is given this time and day about how tall a player is and how much he weighs and his physical talent. You have to be smart. This in the NFL. You can’t wing it in college anymore.

"Once again the trowsers of evil are yanked down by the mocking hands of justice!"-Revshawn

by Revshawn on Dec 19, 2008 12:06 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Jarrett is better

Jarrett has dropped only a couple of passes, two catchable passes to be exact, but he has made some catches where he took some big hits and managed to hold onto the ball too. Dropping a couple catches doesn’t make him bad, both Hoover and Moose had done the same in one game.

The Panthers didn’t draft Jarrett only because of his size, but also because he has great hands and can often make remarkable catches. If you followed him during his college days at USC you would be aware of this. Most experts had him going in the 1st round of the draft, but his slow 40 time made him slip. Although, his 40 time was still faster than pro-bowler’s Anquan Boldin’s 40 time.

Jarrett is a much better WR than his old teammate Steve Smith. The problems not so much with Jarrett, but with the Panthers and Jake. This is why it’s so hard for the Panthers to develop WRs. They don’t get involved enough in the plays and Jake gets too nervous to check down to his 3rd receivers. He’s not quick enough in his check downs and he can’t last in the pocket until he does. He’ll usually panic and try forcing the ball before he even gets a visual on his 3rd option. If Jarrett was on a different team like the Cardinals, you would be seeing an entirely different WR.

Jarrett only has 9 catches this season, but 8 of them are for 1st downs, with most of them coming on 3rd downs. If Jake and the Panthers didn’t think Jarrett had good hands and could catch good, they wouldn’t have thrown to him on 3rd downs so much.

by meanoreno on Dec 19, 2008 3:19 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Maybe Jarrett is better

I am a Giant’s Fan and live in Southern CA, so I saw both of them alot at USC. Jarret and Smith are two different type of receivers. I think Jarrett can stretch the field more and but his attitude, hands and route running have always been slightly worse than Smiths’.

Maybe longer term Carolina has a better wide receiver in Jarrett, but right now Smith gets more chances and is a better receiver. Although I have to say, given our injuries (both physical and gun related), we could really use a guy like Jarrett that could stretch the field more.

Just my opinion.

Btw, you guys have a good blog going here with some great insight. I wish you guys good luck and I think it is going to be a slugfest to watch. With the expected weather, I think this whole game is going to be a trench warfare. With the running games and short slant routes being the key. I am scared to death of watching your Steve Smith catch a short slant pass and running 80 yds for a TD. Our LBs have had a tough time covering those routes and they are not quick enough to keep up with your RBs coming out of the backfield or Smith catching that slant pass.

by losangelesmets on Dec 19, 2008 1:52 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

We love the 'smoke' route to our Smith in the flat

thats 5 to 10 yards easy

I blog the Carolina Panthers at www.catscratchreader.com

by Jaxon on Dec 19, 2008 3:15 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If it is only 5 or 10 easy then...

I will take it. I am scared to death of the 40 or 50 yd giants can be susceptible to if Smith gets passed out LBs who are slow. Damn, I wish Osi was around so we could push Mathias Kiwanuka back to LB where he played all last year. Oh well, play with what you got and Pierce and Blackburn are smart players.

by losangelesmets on Dec 19, 2008 3:55 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Jarrett has better hands

I too follow all the USC games being a Trojan fan. I grew up in L.A. and presently live a few hours away, so every Saturday during football season I get to watch USC. I’ll agree with you about the Giant’s Steve Smith having a better attitude and could run routes better while in college, but not that he had better hands than Jarrett. Jarrett made many remarkable catches, a lot more than Smith. I even seen him get turned around upside down while in the air, land on the back of his head and neck, and still he hung onto the ball.

Smith is proven to be worth something and I’m happy about that, but if Jarrett was playing with the Giants, I defenitely think he’d be proving himself too. He just may end up going there soon enough for us to find out if the Panthers & Jake don’t learn how to get him involved more in the passing game. The Giants will be looking for another WR to replace Plaxico, and the Panthers probably don’t think Jarrett is worth all that much, the Giants should make an offer. The Giants will be able to use Jarrett and get some production out of him.

The following was a scouting report on Jarrett before he was drafted.

“Dwayne Jarrett – Much like Bowe, Jarrett has great size (6’5 219lbs), and while he doesn’t have Bowe’s speed, he has much better hands. He is also a very good run blocker, and has played in a pro-style offense. Wildly productive in college, Jarrett might be the most NFL-ready Wide Receiver outside of Calvin Johnson.”
http://www.bolthype.com/2007_04_01_archive.html

by meanoreno on Dec 20, 2008 12:06 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I agree with meanoreno

All of our successful receivers are pre-Fox/Delhomme. Every one that has come since has struggled. I don’t think the coaches play to the new comers strengths, but just expect them to learn to copy what Smith and Moose are doing. And since Jake relies so much on the big pass play, he can’t afford to waste them… and therefore goes to his old faithfuls.

I still think DJs done good with the opportunities he’s had this year. But that’s just my opinions.

on behalf of tha dirty south: soul food, carolina blue, southern hospitality, and tha queen city

by southtunnel on Dec 19, 2008 5:10 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

NY Times

BTW… did you see this?

http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/12/18/100-words-panthers-11-3-at-giants-11-3/

on behalf of tha dirty south: soul food, carolina blue, southern hospitality, and tha queen city

by southtunnel on Dec 18, 2008 8:37 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I had been waiting for that to come out. Glad to see it! Thanks for posting

The guy that runs that blog does his rounds every week to ask other bloggers on the other side of the field how they feel about the next game. I was asked over email, and I sent the word out to Jaxon and Ryan and we all sent in our thoughts.

I like it. Good practice and such.

"Once again the trowsers of evil are yanked down by the mocking hands of justice!"-Revshawn

by Revshawn on Dec 18, 2008 11:44 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

revshawn

I hear what you’re saying about Jarrett, but I understand the logic behind picking Jarrett. It’s called Moose withdrawal, and you had it, too. After we let Moose go, we kept trying to replace him with big bodies. We wanted a guy who could run good routes, block two defenders at once to spring Smitty for long gains, and who could make tough catches anywhere on the field. After a while, though, when we started to think instead of feel, we just went ahead and brought Moose back. In the words of Smitty when describing Keyshawn “Former 1st pick Overall” Johnson, he’s good, but he ain’t Moose.

by usana_gaines on Dec 19, 2008 1:06 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I know....I know....

Point given, but at the same time Moose isn’t going to be playing for that much longer. We win the Super Bowl and you can pretty much count him gone. He’ll go the way of the players that leave the game on top of his career. We have to prepare for the future, because it’s going to be here before you know it.

Dwayne Jarrett can still be developed, and I’d like to see him start next year, but it’s not looking too good right now. 200-300 yards would have at least been a good sign. If he doesn’t start by his 4th year, I say cut him and move on. Right now I’m already beginning to look for next year.

"Once again the trowsers of evil are yanked down by the mocking hands of justice!"-Revshawn

by Revshawn on Dec 19, 2008 2:31 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Honestly there just aren't that many plays for a 3rd wR in this offense

Even if we had a player comparable Wes Welker in the slot he would only get 2-3 plays a game. Maybe steal 1 or 2 from Moose. We have the 2nd fewest pass plays in the league. Run first, then throw it to Smitty. It’s worked well enough without a 3rd WR to be 11-3 (that’s the John Fox in me coming out).

I blog the Carolina Panthers at www.catscratchreader.com

by Jaxon on Dec 19, 2008 9:31 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

agreed. so since DJ has had some nice grabs, we can trust he will be able to step in once Moose is gone.

on behalf of tha dirty south: soul food, carolina blue, southern hospitality, and tha queen city

by southtunnel on Dec 19, 2008 5:11 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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